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Emmett vs VallejosMain Card · Featherweight
AL
GR
Lemos vs RobertsonMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
IC
OS
Cuțelaba vs SyMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AF
JD
Fili vs DelgadoMain Card · Featherweight
MR
HH
Rahiki vs HardwickMain Card · Featherweight
VP
SA
Petrino vs AsplundPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CJ
BS
Johnson vs SilvaMain Card · Flyweight
BO
MS
Oki vs SousaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
LL
HS
Lacerda vs SosaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BM
MR
Mesquita vs RendonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
ES
YS
Smith vs Su-youngPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BT
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Tavares vs AndersPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Curtis vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Rahiki v Hardwick
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Rahiki 8-0
VS
13-4-1 Hardwick
5'10"
height
5'10"
146 lb
weight
156 lb
72"
reach
71"
24
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Switch
—
strikes landed / min
3.8
—
striking accuracy
38%
—
strikes absorbed / min
2.3
—
striking defence
64%
—
takedowns / 15 min
1.6
—
takedown accuracy
74%
—
takedown defence
60%
—
submissions / 15 min
0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MT
MMAbouts Talks picks Marwan Rahiki VALUE
“I feel like this is a fighter night contender to be honest... I have him minus 235 by decision six out of 10 confidence.”
MMAbouts Talks picks Marwan Rahiki VALUE
“I feel like this is a fighter night contender to be honest... I have him minus 235 by decision six out of 10 confidence.”
IM
Industry Plant MMA picks Marwan Rahiki VALUE
“Marwan Rahiki, I'm more confident in the Marwan Rahiki, but I put both And then Marwan Rahiki is gonna get a finish.”
Industry Plant MMA picks Marwan Rahiki VALUE
“Marwan Rahiki, I'm more confident in the Marwan Rahiki, but I put both And then Marwan Rahiki is gonna get a finish.”
IM
IJB MMA picks Harry Hardwick
“I think he's going to craft himself up a close 29 28 decision.”
IJB MMA picks Harry Hardwick
“I think he's going to craft himself up a close 29 28 decision.”
DO
DonDaDa02 picks Harry Hardwick VALUE
“I want Harry Hardwick to win this matchup”
DonDaDa02 picks Harry Hardwick VALUE
“I want Harry Hardwick to win this matchup”
DO
DonDaDa02 picks Marwan Rahiki VALUE
“I want Marwan Rahiki to win this matchup by maybe late TKO or decision”
DonDaDa02 picks Marwan Rahiki VALUE
“I want Marwan Rahiki to win this matchup by maybe late TKO or decision”
AN
AntUFC picks Harry Hardwick
“I have Harry Hardwick in this fight by finish in round two”
AntUFC picks Harry Hardwick
“I have Harry Hardwick in this fight by finish in round two”
AN
AntUFC picks Marwan Rahiki
“I have Marwan Rahiki in this fight by finish in round two”
AntUFC picks Marwan Rahiki
“I have Marwan Rahiki in this fight by finish in round two”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Harry Hardwick VALUE
“I think Harry Hardwick could weather the storm here.”
Keep it a Buck Media picks Harry Hardwick VALUE
“I think Harry Hardwick could weather the storm here.”
PT
Premier TV picks Marwan Rahiki VALUE
“I really do think it's going to be by points.”
Premier TV picks Marwan Rahiki VALUE
“I really do think it's going to be by points.”
PT
Premier TV picks Harry Hardwick
“Yeah, I got Harry Hardwick.”
Premier TV picks Harry Hardwick
“Yeah, I got Harry Hardwick.”
BM
Bozing MMA picks Marwan Rahiki
“I think he's going to knock him out like the second round.”
Bozing MMA picks Marwan Rahiki
“I think he's going to knock him out like the second round.”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Marwan Rahiki VALUE
“Marwan Rahiki 7-0 taking on Harry the minus 270.”
Premium-Picks picks Marwan Rahiki VALUE
“Marwan Rahiki 7-0 taking on Harry the minus 270.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Rahiki8-0
W
Schmid
May '26
W
Hardwick
Mar '26
Hardwick13-4-1
L
Rahiki
Mar '26
L
Fernandes
Sep '25