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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Johnson v Gustavo da Silva
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Johnson 19-8
VS
23-13 Gustavo da Silva
5'9"
height
6'0"
126 lb
weight
187 lb
70"
reach
74"
35
age
36
Switch
stance
Orthodox
4.2
strikes landed / min
3.4
47%
striking accuracy
63%
3.1
strikes absorbed / min
4.5
54%
striking defence
60%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
2.2
66%
takedown accuracy
51%
55%
takedown defence
51%
1.9
submissions / 15 min
1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MT
MMAbouts Talks picks Bruno Gustavo da Silva VALUE
“So I have Bruno Gustavo da Silva plus 175 second round KOTKO. Five out of 10 confidence.”
$2.75
IM
Industry Plant MMA picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“Give me Charles Johnson over Bruno Gustavo da Silva. Um, and give me this to be finishes. Um, Charles Johnson does have a lot of Josh Emmett Van. Crazy wins. Um, he is coming off a loss. Um, and Bruno Gustavo da Silva Solo is coming Uh, Bruno Gustavo da Silva, nice little southpaw finishes on the feet. Charles Johnson decision 2928 Charles Johnson or just a flatout blood. Um, and I think Charles Johnson gets his bet, I would bet Charles Johnson. I did pick him in my official picks.”
IM
IJB MMA picks Bruno Gustavo da Silva
“I think Bruno Gustavo da Silva is gonna submit Charles Johnson.”
AN
AntUFC picks Charles Johnson
“So, I just think that Charles Johnson is going to use his range in this fight, land some of the harder punches, and get a finish later on. I believe round two is when he can get a TKO.”
GM
GLO MMA picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“I'm gonna go and pick Charles Johnson and get this done via decision.”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Bruno Gustavo da Silva VALUE
“I'm going Bruno Gustavo da Silva to win by KO, TKO.”
PT
Premier TV picks Charles Johnson
“I got Charles Johnson all day on this.”
BM
Bozing MMA picks Charles Johnson
“I'm gonna go with him. I think he gets it done.”
MD
MMA DUMMY picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“We're taking Charles Johnson... I think after that loss that he said... he's pissed... We're taking Johnson probably by decision, but I could definitely see a later rounds probably two, three KO TKO.”
MC
McManusMMA picks Bruno Gustavo da Silva
“I'm gonna go with Bruno Gustavo da Silva by KO, TKO fairly quickly into this fight.”
TO
The MMA Outlaw picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“I think Charles Johnson is going to win... or he's going to get a round three knockout of Bruno the Bulldog Silva.”
SC
ScriptedMMA picks Bruno Gustavo da Silva VALUE
“I think Bruno Gustavo da Silva is probably going to be putting the pressure on here... I'm going to go Bruno Gustavo da Silva as an underdog uh via decision.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Johnson19-8
L
Almabayev
Jun '26
W
Silva
Mar '26
L
Perez
Jan '26
W
Kavanagh
Aug '25
L
Temirov
Mar '25
Gustavo da Silva23-13
L
Cháirez
Jun '26
L
Johnson
Mar '26
W
Hyun-sung
Oct '25
L
Van
Jun '25
L
Kape
Dec '24