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UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Johnson v Gustavo da Silva Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus40 picks · conf 62/99
Johnson 28
12 Gustavo da Silva
ACBPCP pick Johnson
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Johnson 19-8 VS 23-13 Gustavo da Silva
5'9" height 6'0"
126 lb weight 187 lb
70" reach 74"
35 age 36
Switch stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 3.4
47% striking accuracy 63%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 4.5
54% striking defence 60%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 2.2
66% takedown accuracy 51%
55% takedown defence 51%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MT MMAbouts Talks picks Bruno Gustavo da Silva VALUE “So I have Bruno Gustavo da Silva plus 175 second round KOTKO. Five out of 10 confidence.” $2.75
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Charles Johnson VALUE “Give me Charles Johnson over Bruno Gustavo da Silva. Um, and give me this to be finishes. Um, Charles Johnson does have a lot of Josh Emmett Van. Crazy wins. Um, he is coming off a loss. Um, and Bruno Gustavo da Silva Solo is coming Uh, Bruno Gustavo da Silva, nice little southpaw finishes on the feet. Charles Johnson decision 2928 Charles Johnson or just a flatout blood. Um, and I think Charles Johnson gets his bet, I would bet Charles Johnson. I did pick him in my official picks.”
IM IJB MMA picks Bruno Gustavo da Silva “I think Bruno Gustavo da Silva is gonna submit Charles Johnson.”
AN AntUFC picks Charles Johnson “So, I just think that Charles Johnson is going to use his range in this fight, land some of the harder punches, and get a finish later on. I believe round two is when he can get a TKO.”
GM GLO MMA picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I'm gonna go and pick Charles Johnson and get this done via decision.”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Bruno Gustavo da Silva VALUE “I'm going Bruno Gustavo da Silva to win by KO, TKO.”
PT Premier TV picks Charles Johnson “I got Charles Johnson all day on this.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Charles Johnson “I'm gonna go with him. I think he gets it done.”
MD MMA DUMMY picks Charles Johnson VALUE “We're taking Charles Johnson... I think after that loss that he said... he's pissed... We're taking Johnson probably by decision, but I could definitely see a later rounds probably two, three KO TKO.”
MC McManusMMA picks Bruno Gustavo da Silva “I'm gonna go with Bruno Gustavo da Silva by KO, TKO fairly quickly into this fight.”
TO The MMA Outlaw picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I think Charles Johnson is going to win... or he's going to get a round three knockout of Bruno the Bulldog Silva.”
SC ScriptedMMA picks Bruno Gustavo da Silva VALUE “I think Bruno Gustavo da Silva is probably going to be putting the pressure on here... I'm going to go Bruno Gustavo da Silva as an underdog uh via decision.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Johnson19-8
L Almabayev Submission · R3 Jun '26
W Silva Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Perez KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26
W Kavanagh KO/TKO · R2 Aug '25
L Temirov Decision · R3 Mar '25
Gustavo da Silva23-13
L Cháirez Submission · R1 Jun '26
L Johnson Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Hyun-sung Submission · R3 Oct '25
L Van KO/TKO · R3 Jun '25
L Kape KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24