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Leal vs NjokuaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Strickland vs HernandezMain Card · Middleweight
DI
MC
Ige vs CostaMain Card · Featherweight
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AD
Spivac vs DelijaMain Card · Heavyweight
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Reese vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight
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Osbourne vs IdirisPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Coria vs GurulePreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Cornolle vs EdwardsPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Leavitt vs VallePreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Miller vs JudicePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Neal vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight
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Smith vs HarrellMain Card · Welterweight
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Brahimaj vs SorianoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Rowe vs LebosnoyaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Leal vs NjokuaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Prophecy read
Leal v Njokuani
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Leal 21-6
VS
25-11 Njokuani
5'11"
height
6'3"
170 lb
weight
171 lb
74"
reach
80"
32
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
7.1
strikes landed / min
4.6
43%
striking accuracy
63%
7.3
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
50%
striking defence
56%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
25%
takedown accuracy
0%
89%
takedown defence
74%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TO
The MMA Outlaw picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“Give me Cheety Bang Bang here. Give me Cheety Bang Bang to win by second round KO.”
$2.30
The MMA Outlaw picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“Give me Cheety Bang Bang here. Give me Cheety Bang Bang to win by second round KO.”
$2.30
MK
Morning Kombat picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“I'm taking Carlos Leal”
Morning Kombat picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“I'm taking Carlos Leal”
DO
DonDaDa02 picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“Carlos Leal wins this in the flyweight division.”
DonDaDa02 picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“Carlos Leal wins this in the flyweight division.”
IP
IDEK podcast picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“I think Carlos Leal goes back down and takes that belt away from NOT_IN_ROSTER_3”
IDEK podcast picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“I think Carlos Leal goes back down and takes that belt away from NOT_IN_ROSTER_3”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Leal21-6
W
Njokuani
Feb '26
W
Morono
Mar '25
L
Fakhretdinov
Oct '24
Njokuani25-11
L
Leal
Feb '26
L
Matthews
Jul '25
W
Santos
Mar '25
W
Gooden
Oct '24
W
McKee
Mar '24