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UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Reese v Pereira Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus241 picks · conf 99/99
Reese 127
114 Pereira
WPOCWR pick Reese
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Reese 10-3 VS 32-14 Pereira
6'4" height 6'1"
185 lb weight 186 lb
77" reach 73"
32 age 32
Switch stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min 5.5
36% striking accuracy 49%
2.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
49% striking defence 59%
1.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.3
69% takedown accuracy 59%
64% takedown defence 59%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 1.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TO The MMA Outlaw picks Michel Pereira VALUE “I think the styles just really match up for Yadier Dval to have a good fight.” $1.50
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Zachary Reese “Personally, I'm also a fan of Zachary Reese winning against Michel Pereira.” $2.35
ML MMA LIFE picks Zachary Reese VALUE “Zachary Reese's a little smarter. So, give me Zachary Reese to win”
MM MMAInstigator picks Michel Pereira “I'm taking Michel Pereira by finish in the first round.”
MT Mark Berry TMA picks Michel Pereira VALUE $2.50
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Michel Pereira VALUE “Michel Pereira KO at plus 190 after the here or anything on the Michel Pereira side.”
IE IENJOYFIGHTS picks Zachary Reese VALUE “I think Zachary Reese by decision”
IE IENJOYFIGHTS picks Michel Pereira VALUE “I think Michel Pereira by decision”
DU Dirty Blonde UFC picks Michel Pereira VALUE “I am going to go with Michel Pereira”
MJ Mukbang with jj picks Zachary Reese VALUE “I think Zachary Reese is a lock for this card um by finish to be honest.”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Michel Pereira “you trust Michel Pereira.”
JC Jaiden Cable picks Michel Pereira “I'm gonna go Michel Pereira”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Reese10-3
L Pereira Decision · R3 Feb '26
W McVey Submission · R2 Nov '25
W Todorović Decision · R3 May '25
L Bekoev KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Medina Decision · R3 Aug '24
Pereira32-14
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Reese Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Daukaus KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Hernandez KO/TKO · R5 Oct '24