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UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Smith v Harrell Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus40 picks · conf 62/99
Smith 0
40 Harrell
pick Smith
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Smith 11-0 VS 11-0 Harrell
6'2" height 5'7"
170 lb weight 171 lb
72" reach 68"
30 age 27
Southpaw stance Southpaw
7.0 strikes landed / min —
76% striking accuracy —
1.4 strikes absorbed / min —
54% striking defence —
13.3 takedowns / 15 min —
87% takedown accuracy —
0% takedown defence —
0.0 submissions / 15 min —
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TO The MMA Outlaw picks Josiah Harrell VALUE “I got Joselyne Edwards to win the fight.” $1.31
LM LF MMA picks Josiah Harrell “Josiah Harrell will probably win this”
TC The Finz Chats picks Josiah Harrell VALUE “I will also be taking Josiah Harrell. Give me Josiah Harrell.”
FT Flamingo Fight Talk picks Josiah Harrell “I'mma pick jerker.”
YO YoungPastey picks Josiah Harrell “If Josiah Harrell hits plus 300, I am going” $4.00
AF Around the Felt picks Josiah Harrell “In full disclosure, I'm a big Josiah Harrell fan. ... So want to bet on Josiah Harrell. Don't bet better odds on Josiah Harrell because I some respect for Josiah Harrell making a Josiah Harrell. like he's built in a lab.”
CM Carnage Media picks Josiah Harrell “I'm going with the Josiah Harrell all day.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Josiah Harrell VALUE “I'm leaning Smith”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Josiah Harrell VALUE “and that could lead to Josiah Harrell wide and Josiah Harrell should definitely be little bit of a sprinkle on Josiah Harrell's”
DE DevvioMMA picks Josiah Harrell “Real ones know Josiah Harrell.”
SS Spinnin Backfist MMA Show picks Josiah Harrell VALUE “Josiah Harrell respect cuz Jacobe Smith to me is one so suspect and Josiah Harrell Josiah Harrell is a guy that I mean his story is >> but I if Josiah Harrell makes it a scrap >> like Josiah Harrell like round three.”
SN Ship It Nation picks Josiah Harrell “that's why I have uh Josiah Harrell as a Josiah Harrell.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Smith11-0
W Harrell KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
W Price Submission · R2 Jun '25
W Parsons KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
Harrell11-0
L Smith KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26