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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Coria v Gurule
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Coria 11-3
VS
11-3 Gurule
5'8"
height
5'5"
126 lb
weight
125 lb
67"
reach
64"
28
age
32
--
stance
Orthodox
2.9
strikes landed / min
4.6
55%
striking accuracy
62%
2.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
70%
striking defence
61%
2.2
takedowns / 15 min
2.1
29%
takedown accuracy
74%
81%
takedown defence
85%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TO
The MMA Outlaw picks Alden Coria VALUE
“I really don't think this is a very difficult fight to pick... I think Alen Korea... I think we see a pretty dominant 3027 decision.”
$1.91
The MMA Outlaw picks Alden Coria VALUE
“I really don't think this is a very difficult fight to pick... I think Alen Korea... I think we see a pretty dominant 3027 decision.”
$1.91
TO
The MMA Outlaw picks Luis Gurule VALUE
“Sergey Spivac again leaves something to be desired for sure... but he's been in the UFC a little bit longer... Sergey Spievok is plus 105.”
$2.05
The MMA Outlaw picks Luis Gurule VALUE
“Sergey Spivac again leaves something to be desired for sure... but he's been in the UFC a little bit longer... Sergey Spievok is plus 105.”
$2.05
MM
MMAInstigator picks Alden Coria
“I'm taking Alden Coria by knockout.”
MMAInstigator picks Alden Coria
“I'm taking Alden Coria by knockout.”
JC
Jaiden Cable picks Luis Gurule
“go with Luis Gurule.”
Jaiden Cable picks Luis Gurule
“go with Luis Gurule.”
WP
We Want Picks picks Alden Coria
“Alden Coria striking smokes Luis Gurule.”
We Want Picks picks Alden Coria
“Alden Coria striking smokes Luis Gurule.”
LM
LF MMA picks Alden Coria
“I think Alden Coria is highly Luis Gurule. I think he puts on the clinic.”
LF MMA picks Alden Coria
“I think Alden Coria is highly Luis Gurule. I think he puts on the clinic.”
MA
MaybeLuissMMA picks Alden Coria
“I think he'll finish at um Luis Gurule in round”
MaybeLuissMMA picks Alden Coria
“I think he'll finish at um Luis Gurule in round”
BM
Bozing MMA picks Alden Coria
“got Alden Coria by mid-rounds, TKO”
Bozing MMA picks Alden Coria
“got Alden Coria by mid-rounds, TKO”
RX
RX picks Alden Coria
“Give me Alden Coria by knockout give me Alden Coria and knock out in a second. Luis Gurule has a weak chin.”
RX picks Alden Coria
“Give me Alden Coria by knockout give me Alden Coria and knock out in a second. Luis Gurule has a weak chin.”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Alden Coria
“And I think Alden Coria is from Alden Coria in this matchup.”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Alden Coria
“And I think Alden Coria is from Alden Coria in this matchup.”
PV
Predicciones UFC - VainillaUFC picks Alden Coria
“The pick is going to be Alden Coria ends up winning”
Predicciones UFC - VainillaUFC picks Alden Coria
“The pick is going to be Alden Coria ends up winning”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Coria11-3
W
Gurule
Feb '26
W
Costa
Sep '25
Gurule11-3
L
Tsuruya
May '26
W
Barez
May '26
L
Coria
Feb '26
L
Aguilar
Sep '25
L
Osbourne
Apr '25