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UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Neal v Medić Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus262 picks · conf 99/99
Neal 196
66 Medić
CWPGMM pick Neal
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Neal 16-7 VS 10-2 Medić
5'11" height —
171 lb weight —
75" reach —
35 age 33
Southpaw stance Southpaw
5.0 strikes landed / min 5.5
51% striking accuracy 60%
5.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
57% striking defence 58%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.4
50% takedown accuracy 50%
87% takedown defence 55%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Geoff Neal VALUE “I picked Geoff Neal to a banger fight”
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Uroš Medić VALUE “I picked Uroš Medić to a banger fight”
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Geoff Neal “I think I got Geoff Neal on this one.”
TO The MMA Outlaw picks Geoff Neal VALUE “I think Yos Medic slimes him out.” $1.45
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Geoff Neal “I don't know. I got Geoff Neal.”
ML MMA LIFE picks Geoff Neal VALUE “Give me Uros Medic. I believe Serbia 61. Yeah, give me that [__] to win”
MM MMAInstigator picks Uroš Medić “I'm taking Uroš Medić by knockout.”
MT Mark Berry TMA picks Geoff Neal VALUE $1.50
DU Dirty Blonde UFC picks Geoff Neal VALUE “I'm going to go with Geoff Neal”
MJ Mukbang with jj picks Geoff Neal VALUE “I think Geoff Neal is a lock, especially as an underdog...”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Geoff Neal “Geoff Neal's going to knock out Uroš Medić.”
MM MMACOOLQUAY picks Geoff Neal “I got Geoff Neal Geoff Neal winning by TKO. Second, third the third round. I see Geoff Neal TKOing”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Neal16-7
L Medić KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
L Prates KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Anjos KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
L Garry Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Rakhmonov Submission · R3 Mar '23
Medić10-2
W Neal KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
W Salikhov KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Urbina KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Soriano KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Means KO/TKO · R1 Apr '24