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UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ige v Costa Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus247 picks · conf 99/99
Ige 67
180 Costa
GCMFJD pick Ige
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ige 19-10 VS 26-7 Costa
5'7" height 5'10"
145 lb weight 145 lb
71" reach 71"
34 age 29
Orthodox stance Southpaw
3.7 strikes landed / min 3.5
45% striking accuracy 46%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.3
56% striking defence 58%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.5
26% takedown accuracy 35%
57% takedown defence 52%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TO The MMA Outlaw picks Dan Ige VALUE “I think Dan Ige puts Melquizael Costa out cold.” $2.80
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Melquizael Costa “do I think he's going to pull it off? Yes, I do. Yes, I do. I like Melquizael Costa so much.”
JC Jaiden Cable picks Dan Ige “have to go with Dan Ige on this one, bro.”
WP We Want Picks picks Melquizael Costa “I'm going to pick Melquizael Costa now, but I think Melquizael Costa wins this fight.”
LM LF MMA picks Melquizael Costa “Dan Ige has the power, Melquizael Costa just has too many tools”
MA MaybeLuissMMA picks Melquizael Costa “I had Melquizael Costa as think Melquizael Costa um 100% the better Melquizael Costa by decision”
TO The Handsum One picks Melquizael Costa “give me uh Melquizael Costa Moneyline”
BM Bozing MMA picks Melquizael Costa “Got Melquizael Costa by decision.”
RX RX picks Melquizael Costa “give me Melquizael Costa by decision”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Dan Ige “I like Dan Ige against Melquizael Costa”
MR MMA on the Rocks (MMA on the Rocks) picks Melquizael Costa “I'm picking Melquizael Costa just by his nickname”
TC The Finz Chats picks Melquizael Costa VALUE “Melquizael Costa by decision. ... I'm also going with Melquizael Costa.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ige19-10
L Costa KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
L Pitbull Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Woodson KO/TKO · R3 Apr '25
L Murphy Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Lopes Decision · R3 Jun '24
Costa26-7
L Allen Decision · R5 May '26
W Ige KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
W Charrière KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W Erosa Decision · R3 May '25
W Rodriguez Decision · R3 Mar '25