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UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Abdul-Malik v Trócoli Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus185 picks · conf 99/99
Abdul-Malik 168
17 Trócoli
RTMPLE pick Abdul-Malik
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Abdul-Malik 9-0-1 VS 12-5 Trócoli
6'2" height
185 lb weight
80" reach
28 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
6.6 strikes landed / min 1.3
54% striking accuracy 50%
4.2 strikes absorbed / min 5.8
53% striking defence 23%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
0% takedown accuracy 11%
75% takedown defence 50%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Mansur Abdul-Malik VALUE “I'm taking actually one, Mansur Abdul-Malik versus Antonio”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Mansur Abdul-Malik VALUE “I think [Mansur Abdul-Malik] should look a lot better in this fight... give me Abdul Malik to win.”
PI PibbleMMA picks Mansur Abdul-Malik VALUE “Mansur Abdul-Malik is a lock.”
RX RX picks Mansur Abdul-Malik “Give me Mansur Abdul-Malik. Easy win. Lock of the night.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Mansur Abdul-Malik “if I were betting the >> Yeah, Mansur Abdul-Malik.”
MB Matty Betss picks Antonio Trócoli “Antonio Trócoli vers Mansur Abdul-Malik to to Antonio Trócoli, guys... Antonio Trócoli or Antonio Trócoli is just one, lock it in.”
WP We Want Picks picks Mansur Abdul-Malik “I have to be on the Mansor Abdul Malik side.”
DS Dynes Sports picks Mansur Abdul-Malik “Likely to be finished by Mansur Abdul-Malik ... Mansur Abdul-Malik is the much better fighter ... I think Antonio Trócoli's checked out.” $1.08
PH Philyflishow999 picks Mansur Abdul-Malik VALUE “going uh obviously going Mansur Abdul-Malik”
FM FATALITY MMA picks Mansur Abdul-Malik “I'm going to take Manser Abdul Malik.”
FI FightMike picks Mansur Abdul-Malik “he's just an allaround better fighter than Antonio Trócoli.”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Mansur Abdul-Malik “So, I'm going Mansur Abdul-Malik”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Abdul-Malik9-0-1
L Belgaroui KO/TKO · R3 Mar '26
W Trócoli Submission · R1 Dec '25
W Brundage Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Klein KO/TKO · R2 Feb '25
W Todorović KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
Trócoli12-5
L Kondratavičius Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Abdul-Malik Submission · R1 Dec '25
L Gore Submission · R1 Nov '24
L Magomedov KO/TKO · R3 Jun '24