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UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Cejudo v Talbott Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus328 picks · conf 99/99
Cejudo 134
194 Talbott
DPTTTH pick Cejudo
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Cejudo 16-4 VS 9-0 Talbott
5'4" height 5'10"
135 lb weight 135 lb
64" reach 70"
39 age 27
Orthodox stance Switch
3.8 strikes landed / min 8.4
46% striking accuracy 55%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.6
60% striking defence 51%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
32% takedown accuracy 0%
75% takedown defence 90%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Payton Talbott VALUE “I think Payton Talbott will win a decision”
HI HilexMMA picks Payton Talbott “I'm going to go with Payton Talbott ... Payton Talbott will win it, though.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Payton Talbott “All right. Yeah, I'm taking Payton Talbott”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Payton Talbott VALUE “My top five confident picks for this card are... Payton Talbott...”
TE TenSevenMMA picks Payton Talbott “this is the rise of Payton Talbott and I think Payton Talbott's gonna get him. ... Payton Talbott's going to get the victory and I'm rooting for Payton Talbott.”
WM Wristlock MMA picks Payton Talbott “I'm taking uh Henry Cejudo to the takedowns. Obviously Henry Cejudo is a Payton Talbott at 135. Many are saying Payton Talbott. I don't know if he knocks him out, but uh I do say Payton Talbott then Payton Talbott probably by decision”
BU BunkyMMA picks Henry Cejudo “I me Henry Henry Cejudo by unanimous decision.”
FF Frozen Fists picks Henry Cejudo VALUE “Henry Cejudo is say Payton Talbott”
RX RX picks Payton Talbott “An easy one for Payton Talbott by decision, Payton Talbott by decision,”
OP Overdogs Podcast with Mike Perry picks Payton Talbott “I think Payton Talbott, the young gun, is tougher. I'm gonna go with Payton Talbott”
BS Betting Weekly Studios picks Henry Cejudo VALUE “to make a bet probably by KO but Henry Cejudo... And if you're giving me Henry Cejudo at plus Henry Cejudo.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Payton Talbott VALUE “Almost laid some money on Payton Talbott as a nice little”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Cejudo16-4
L Talbott Decision · R3 Dec '25
L Yadong Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Dvalishvili Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Sterling Decision · R5 May '23
W Cruz KO/TKO · R2 May '20
Talbott9-0
W Cejudo Decision · R3 Dec '25
W Lima Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Barcelos Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Ghemmouri KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
W Saaiman KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24