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UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
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MD PY Dvalishvili vs YanMain Card · Bantamweight AP JV Pantoja vs VanMain Card · Flyweight BM TT Moreno vs TairaMain Card · Flyweight HC PT Cejudo vs TalbottMain Card · Bantamweight JB BG Błachowicz vs GuskovMain Card · Light Heavyweight GD MT Dawson vs TorresPreliminary Card · Lightweight TM CD McKinney vs DuncanPreliminary Card · Lightweight MB KS Barber vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight NS FZ Sadykhov vs ZiamPreliminary Card · Lightweight MV BF Vettori vs FerreiraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight EB JT Barboza vs TurnerEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight IB İA Baraniewski vs AslanEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight MA AT Abdul-Malik vs TrócoliEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight MN MS Naimov vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pantoja v Van Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus355 picks · conf 99/99
Pantoja 258
97 Van
DRTCTN pick Pantoja
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pantoja 28-5 VS 16-2 Van
5'5" height 5'5"
125 lb weight 124 lb
67" reach 65"
36 age 24
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 8.4
49% striking accuracy 53%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 6.1
50% striking defence 58%
2.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
47% takedown accuracy 63%
68% takedown defence 83%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
PI PibbleMMA picks Joshua Van VALUE “Joshua Van who's an H-town dumbass. He >> w stream”
TI TITLE_TALKMMA picks Joshua Van VALUE “Joshua Van winning, he'd be the first champion from Myanmar and the first Asian male world champion.”
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Joshua Van VALUE “The Pantoia versus Joshua Van. I think”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Alexandre Pantoja “Um I'm picking Alexandre Pantoja.”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE “I'm going to take Alexandre Pantoja”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Joshua Van VALUE “I'm going to go with uh Joshua Van here... give me Joshua Van to win by TKO KO.”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE “I'm going to go with uh Joshua Van here...”
TE TenSevenMMA picks Alexandre Pantoja “Alexandre Pantoja is just the better overall fighter.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Alexandre Pantoja “I'm going second Alexandre Pantoja money line.”
TD The DubCast picks Alexandre Pantoja “I like Alexandre Pantoja at those odds”
FF Frozen Fists picks Joshua Van VALUE “I think Joshua Van win or lose”
RX RX picks Joshua Van “Easy win for Joshua Van.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pantoja28-5
L Van KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W Kara-France Submission · R3 Jun '25
W Asakura Submission · R2 Dec '24
W Erceg Decision · R5 May '24
W Royval Decision · R5 Dec '23
Van16-2
W Taira KO/TKO · R5 May '26
W Pantoja KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W Royval Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Silva KO/TKO · R3 Jun '25
W Tsuruya Decision · R3 Mar '25