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UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Błachowicz v Guskov Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus276 picks · conf 99/99
Błachowicz 166
110 Guskov
DTCMBP pick Błachowicz
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Błachowicz 29-10-1 VS 16-3 Guskov
— height 6'3"
— weight 205 lb
— reach 76"
43 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.4 strikes landed / min 3.1
50% striking accuracy 48%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.7
53% striking defence 47%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
50% takedown accuracy 0%
68% takedown defence 66%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Jan Błachowicz VALUE “Jan Błachowicz versus Bogdan Guskov”
HI HilexMMA picks Bogdan Guskov “Bogdan Guskov to win this fight based on just hear me out.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Jan Błachowicz “I'm taking Jan Błachowicz.”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE “I'm going to say goofkas NOT_IN_ROSTER_32 versus Payton Talbott”
BU BunkyMMA picks Jan Błachowicz VALUE “I see him getting TKO'd in the second round, maybe even the third by Jan Błachowicz.”
FF Frozen Fists picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE “Bogdan Guskov is the fully evolved”
PI PibbleMMA picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE “Bogdan Guskov by KO. Dude, NOT_IN_ROSTER_25 is an Jalin Turner to win by KO or submission with Bogdan Guskov by KO on top of Bogdan Guskov”
RX RX picks Jan Błachowicz “I much better than Bogdan Guskov.”
FR FREESTYLEBENDER picks Jan Błachowicz “I go Jan Błachowicz in this fight. ... Jan Błachowicz decision.”
MT MMA Tugg picks Jan Błachowicz “Give me Jan Błachowicz.”
HP High Low Sports Podcast picks Jan Błachowicz “we're going to take Jan Błachowicz the win”
HM Hablemos MMA picks Jan Błachowicz “I think Jan Błachowicz is going to just going to assume Jan Błachowicz wins his Bogdan Guskov.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Błachowicz29-10-1
L Ulberg Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Pereira Decision · R3 Jul '23
W Rakić KO/TKO · R3 May '22
L Teixeira Submission · R2 Oct '21
W Adesanya Decision · R5 Mar '21
Guskov16-3
W Krylov KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
W Elekana Submission · R2 Jan '25
W Spann KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
W Pauga KO/TKO · R1 Feb '24
L Oezdemir Submission · R1 Sep '23