Choose a fight to analyse
AT
DH
Tsarukyan vs HookerMain Card · Lightweight
BM
IG
Muhammad vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight
VO
AM
Oezdemir vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JH
MO
Hermansson vs OrolbaiMain Card · Welterweight
AP
AA
Perez vs AlmabayevPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BG
LR
Grad vs RileyPreliminary Card · Featherweight
AY
RC
Yakhyaev vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
TU
KH
Ulanbekov vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight
BA
AT
Almakhan vs TopuriaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
IN
RL
Naurdiev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight
NA
SR
Aliev vs RockPreliminary Card · Lightweight
ND
SI
Dalby vs IzagakhmaevPreliminary Card · Welterweight
MB
DF
Bujło vs FreemanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
WC
SG
Cortes-Acosta vs GazievMain Card · Heavyweight
DH
Tsarukyan vs HookerMain Card · Lightweight
BM
IG
Muhammad vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight
VO
AM
Oezdemir vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JH
MO
Hermansson vs OrolbaiMain Card · Welterweight
AP
AA
Perez vs AlmabayevPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BG
LR
Grad vs RileyPreliminary Card · Featherweight
AY
RC
Yakhyaev vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
TU
KH
Ulanbekov vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight
BA
AT
Almakhan vs TopuriaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
IN
RL
Naurdiev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight
NA
SR
Aliev vs RockPreliminary Card · Lightweight
ND
SI
Dalby vs IzagakhmaevPreliminary Card · Welterweight
MB
DF
Bujło vs FreemanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
WC
SG
Cortes-Acosta vs GazievMain Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Naurdiev v Loder
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Naurdiev 24-7
VS
8-1 Loder
5'10"
height
6'2"
186 lb
weight
185 lb
74"
reach
76"
29
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
3.4
strikes landed / min
6.2
53%
striking accuracy
80%
1.5
strikes absorbed / min
0.1
66%
striking defence
50%
1.6
takedowns / 15 min
2.2
40%
takedown accuracy
33%
72%
takedown defence
100%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
2.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Ryan Loder VALUE
“I'm gonna go with Free Man here. Um, >> this obviously these two make they're making they're making their debuts coming through, but this one's a PM. This is one of them PMs. But yeah, why not? We go with uh Ryan Loder.”
$1.70
GM
GLO MMA picks Ismail Naurdiev VALUE
“I am going to go and pick Ismail Naurdiev to get this done via decision.”
FI
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Ismail Naurdiev
“I went with Ismail Naurdiev, Ismail Naurdiev because he has more way more >>”
VM
Voice of MMA picks Ismail Naurdiev VALUE
“I would be taking Ishmail Nordiv to win by KO.”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Ryan Loder VALUE
“I'm going to have to go with Ryan Loder”
MC
MMA CTRL picks Ismail Naurdiev VALUE
“I'm taking Ismail Nordivv... I think Nordia might KO him... but I'm going to go with Decision on this one as well.”
FF
Four Ounce Fanatic picks Ismail Naurdiev
“will be picking Ismail Naurdiev to win this fight”
MN
MNPicks picks Ismail Naurdiev
“I'm taking Ismail Naurdiev at 64%.”
BE
BetFighter picks Ismail Naurdiev
“I think there is a huge difference in experience in favor of the Ismail Naurdiev and I think he will simply win”
LO
LorenzoPredicts picks Ismail Naurdiev
“let's pick Ismail Naurdiev to beat Loader as decision.”
IP
Inside The Cage Podcast picks Ismail Naurdiev
“going to trust Ismail Naurdiev”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Naurdiev24-7
W
Loder
Nov '25
L
Jun-yong
Jun '25
W
Silva
Oct '24
L
Brady
Feb '20
W
Bahadurzada
Sep '19
Loder8-1
L
Naurdiev
Nov '25
L
Bekoev
May '25
W
Valentin
Aug '24