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Perez vs AlmabayevPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Tsarukyan vs HookerMain Card · Lightweight
BM
IG
Muhammad vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight
VO
AM
Oezdemir vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JH
MO
Hermansson vs OrolbaiMain Card · Welterweight
AP
AA
Perez vs AlmabayevPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BG
LR
Grad vs RileyPreliminary Card · Featherweight
AY
RC
Yakhyaev vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
TU
KH
Ulanbekov vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight
BA
AT
Almakhan vs TopuriaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
IN
RL
Naurdiev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight
NA
SR
Aliev vs RockPreliminary Card · Lightweight
ND
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Dalby vs IzagakhmaevPreliminary Card · Welterweight
MB
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Bujło vs FreemanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Cortes-Acosta vs GazievMain Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Perez v Almabayev
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Perez 26-10
VS
23-3 Almabayev
5'6"
height
5'4"
128 lb
weight
125 lb
65"
reach
65"
34
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.2
strikes landed / min
2.1
46%
striking accuracy
56%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
1.0
58%
striking defence
59%
2.0
takedowns / 15 min
5.1
46%
takedown accuracy
50%
77%
takedown defence
50%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
1.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Asu Almabayev VALUE
“We've got Alex Perez uh versus Alu Asu Almabayev. ... We have got Alex Perez coming in as a plus 164 underdog and NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 Asu Almabayev coming in a minus 196 favorite.”
$1.51
The Rambling Dad picks Asu Almabayev VALUE
“We've got Alex Perez uh versus Alu Asu Almabayev. ... We have got Alex Perez coming in as a plus 164 underdog and NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 Asu Almabayev coming in a minus 196 favorite.”
$1.51
GM
GLO MMA picks Alex Perez VALUE
“I'm going to go and pick a suit to get this done via decision.”
GLO MMA picks Alex Perez VALUE
“I'm going to go and pick a suit to get this done via decision.”
FI
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Alex Perez
“I'm going to go with Alex Perez just win.”
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Alex Perez
“I'm going to go with Alex Perez just win.”
VM
Voice of MMA picks Alex Perez VALUE
“I'll be taking Alex Perez to win it.”
Voice of MMA picks Alex Perez VALUE
“I'll be taking Alex Perez to win it.”
FF
Four Ounce Fanatic picks Alex Perez
“I'm going to pick Alex Perez to win”
Four Ounce Fanatic picks Alex Perez
“I'm going to pick Alex Perez to win”
DO
DonDaDa02 picks Asu Almabayev
“Asu Almabayev is going to take this one by decision in my opinion.”
DonDaDa02 picks Asu Almabayev
“Asu Almabayev is going to take this one by decision in my opinion.”
BG
Bettor in Green picks Asu Almabayev
“with you here in Asu Almabayev of money line. Asu Almabayev Perez money lines”
Bettor in Green picks Asu Almabayev
“with you here in Asu Almabayev of money line. Asu Almabayev Perez money lines”
RE
RealMNPicks picks Asu Almabayev
“Asu Almabayev is 22 and3. Relentless wrestler”
RealMNPicks picks Asu Almabayev
“Asu Almabayev is 22 and3. Relentless wrestler”
MN
MNPicks picks Asu Almabayev
“taking Asu Almabayev at 82%.”
MNPicks picks Asu Almabayev
“taking Asu Almabayev at 82%.”
BE
BetFighter picks Asu Almabayev
“but I think Asu Almabayev will win.”
BetFighter picks Asu Almabayev
“but I think Asu Almabayev will win.”
LO
LorenzoPredicts picks Asu Almabayev
“I will go Asu Almabayev”
LorenzoPredicts picks Asu Almabayev
“I will go Asu Almabayev”
JM
JTM MMA picks Asu Almabayev
“Alex Perez is a punching bag of versus Asu Almabayev... Asu Almabayev by submission in the”
JTM MMA picks Asu Almabayev
“Alex Perez is a punching bag of versus Asu Almabayev... Asu Almabayev by submission in the”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Perez26-10
W
Johnson
Jan '26
L
Almabayev
Nov '25
L
Taira
Jun '24
W
Nicolau
Apr '24
L
Mokaev
Mar '24
Almabayev23-3
W
Johnson
Jun '26
W
Perez
Nov '25
W
Ochoa
Jul '25
L
Kape
Mar '25
W
Nicolau
Oct '24