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UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Tsarukyan v Hooker Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus207 picks · conf 99/99
Tsarukyan 165
42 Hooker
DEMSMW pick Tsarukyan
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Tsarukyan 22-3 VS 24-13 Hooker
5'7" height 6'0"
156 lb weight 155 lb
72" reach 75"
29 age 36
Orthodox stance Switch
3.8 strikes landed / min 5.0
48% striking accuracy 48%
1.8 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
53% striking defence 51%
3.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
37% takedown accuracy 34%
75% takedown defence 78%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FI FightCircuit picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE “Arman Tsarukyan is going to get him out of pound TKO.”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Dan Hooker VALUE “I'm going with Amas Shuriken here. I'm I'm going with Amasur.” $5.40
GM GLO MMA picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE “I'm going to pick Arman Soo and to get this done via a decision.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Arman Tsarukyan “I'm taking um Arman Tsarukyan”
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Arman Tsarukyan “I think Arman Tsarukyan gets it done too. Um I think he just wrestle [ ] Dan Hooker and that's that.”
VM Voice of MMA picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE “You have to take him by submission because he's been training with NOT_IN_ROSTER_4. He's been doing jiu-jitsu tournaments.”
ES etoft21 sports picks Dan Hooker VALUE “Dan Hooker at contender”
ES etoft21 sports picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE “Arman Tsarukyan”
AM Anchor MMA picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE “Arman Tsarukyan will win by comfortable TKO”
AH Alonzo Hernandez picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE “I feel like the next matchup for Malcolm >> if he's facing someone with average and decent wrestling and jiujitsu. Malcolm Wmaker is in in in like in a lot of troubles, bro. He show up in three rounds a lot of holes, dude. Like a lot of big holes in his game like the clinch, the grappling. Um, and he was he was fighting a dude who fought like just two days ago, dude. Like that's just unbelievable. So for NOT_IN_ROSTER_12, NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 I I it's sad. This is the sad part. The sad the very sad part. [clears throat] Billy Brand I know it because he fought Payton Talbot and it was the same situation. Whoever wins this fight, it going to go to the Dana White Contender Series. So, Payton beat NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 and then um NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 came up to to to get finally an opportunity in the Dawway Contender Series, but he faced um this fighter who was about to fight NOT_IN_ROSTER_57 before >> uh the NOT_IN_ROSTER_58 guy. >> I forgot his name. I I just talked to the commentator for EVENT_DETAILS and he was like talking about all the fight. I don't even know all the fighters especially in those like organizations. >> I just know it because Payton and NOT_IN_ROSTER_7 and because I've been in the event so I quickly like got related with a couple fighters like NOT_IN_ROSTER_60 and NOT_IN_ROSTER_61. But um yeah, dude, I I was just like how sad is for Billy Bran like to be so close and always face a dude just a little bit better than you and and not get it, dude. And just but be be so close, dude. Yeah, it's just frustrating. >> Oh, man. But I feel like with that card, I mean, I felt like you did really well, especially with the picks and stuff. I felt like that was like, you know, you were hitting them. Even the week before that, like, even with the Onam Garcia fight, I feel like there was like a lot of picks that, you know, if you you have to really know a lot of these fighters and that's like one of the my biggest like things like especially if I do like prediction videos, like I have to be on top of like all these guys and watch their fights and see what organizations they've come from and see what kind of level of competition and like actually studying fighting. like I'm at now I didn't even train MMA but now I'm like looking for like patterns and trying to see like what what kind of holes there was that was that was there but um yeah it's it's a crazy crazy sport for sure. Now talking about the the odds and betting like in this betting side I feel like it's a good topic to talk because it's very different read the fights and do betting in fights because lately we are seeing interesting things happening in fights. I feel like fights are definitely rigged because unfortunately I feel like the EVENT_DETAILS is not really um a division of athletes, you know, like um a a professional league of sports. I feel like the EVENT_DETAILS is really a reality show because if the EVENT_DETAILS is really like the NL like the NFL or the NBA or like the soccer league, dude, I don't know. They will make him they will make like way more money. They will have like way more rights. They will have like way more benefits. And I know there will be a lot of fire a lot of fighters saying the EVENT_DETAILS is taking care of me. The the EVENT_DETAILS is taking good care of me. But the reality is they are saying that because if they don't say that and if they make mad they they are boss. Um yeah it's pretty pretty pretty interesting. That's another hot topic though, for sure. >> That's another very very hot topic. >> With this video, we could go into different topics. Of course, we would like to talk about the fights, but I do I do think uh even what you posted earlier with NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 E-wing at his job site the next the next uh few days, you know, doing this thing. It's like, man, how much are these guys really getting paid even for doing something like that? Hot topic in that dude is how you with two days short notice you do a good ass performance and you bring the probably the biggest upset of the night because Malcolm Wmaker losing that was the running parlay of whoever beaten Malcolm wellmaker when I saw in the first time because that's what I'm saying one thing is read the fights another thing is put money on the fights When I saw Malcolm Wellmaker changing his first fight with NOT_IN_ROSTER_11, that is a late NOT_IN_ROSTER_11. That that that is the guy who beat Billy Brand in the Daw Contender Series. Another good striker. When I saw Kodi Hadon and I was like, it's a good Aussie. So I was like, you know what? I I'm not gonna take Malcolm Wmaker and I'm not gonna take NOT_IN_ROSTER_11, but I I feel 100% sure over 1.5 rounds endedly with Irwing the fight goes to the division. So the the fight like it was a good reading over 1.5 because what you're going to tell me Malcolm Wilmaker gonna KO this guy. I saw Irwin and I saw he has a good chin because if you fight um uh NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 dude means you have a hell of a chin dude and yeah that's that's pretty interesting. So I was like no I'm not going to put money on this fight. So Luke Riley dude and he he got a good performance two days notice and you're not going to give to this guy a a bonus. you're not gonna get like a little a little something because as a fighter as a performance he performed it pretty good dude he out strike it Malcolm well maker and make it look like a dude who just had two three punches and that's it >> I mean I feel like he's more of a story I mean I feel like more people are talking about that fight than maybe even like the co-main or the main event I mean of course you know Islam getting the the second belt of course a lot of people are going to talk about >> it's because the money the money make the people mad and that's why like people are talking more more about them. If the the be the the money and casinos they were not existing the the the the rising of this sport were very low bro very low but because we have the money involve it and we we are able to bet in in the sports that make the sport also grow more >> for sure a lot that brings a lot more emotion right I mean you got people you know getting rich or losing a lot of money I mean it plays with the people's like emotion so it's like or they're more vocal online. They're more uh more active in the space. So, yeah, it makes sense for sure. >> Dude, I just bet 40 or $45 max in a event and I just can't believe it. Like, are people who put a hell of money on this, dude. Like I just I just was watching um Dan Hooker versus NOT_IN_ROSTER_10. It was a pretty old fight. Um I was I was I was just stood in that fight because I was like okay Arman Tsarukyan is pretty pretty kind of like Islam. They are like kind of in like they are they are there they are there. I feel like Armanuk can bring a a a good fight to to Islam. Um I believe when they face in the first time Arma Sarukin is the first dude to take down Islam for the first time in the EVENT_DETAILS. >> That's right. So, um, Arman Sarukian, I was like, uh, okay Dan Hooker, I was like,”
MC MMA CTRL picks Dan Hooker “I secretly want Dan Hooker to win.”
MC MMA CTRL picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE “Arman Tsarukyan's going to pull it off. He's going to submit him.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Tsarukyan22-3
W Hooker Submission · R2 Nov '25
W Oliveira Decision · R3 Apr '24
W Dariush KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
W Silva KO/TKO · R3 Jun '23
W Ismagulov Decision · R3 Dec '22
Hooker24-13
L Denis KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
L Tsarukyan Submission · R2 Nov '25
W Gamrot Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Turner Decision · R3 Jul '23
W Puelles KO/TKO · R2 Nov '22