Choose a fight to analyse
AT
DH
Tsarukyan vs HookerMain Card · Lightweight
BM
IG
Muhammad vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight
VO
AM
Oezdemir vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JH
MO
Hermansson vs OrolbaiMain Card · Welterweight
AP
AA
Perez vs AlmabayevPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BG
LR
Grad vs RileyPreliminary Card · Featherweight
AY
RC
Yakhyaev vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
TU
KH
Ulanbekov vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight
BA
AT
Almakhan vs TopuriaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
IN
RL
Naurdiev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight
NA
SR
Aliev vs RockPreliminary Card · Lightweight
ND
SI
Dalby vs IzagakhmaevPreliminary Card · Welterweight
MB
DF
Bujło vs FreemanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
WC
SG
Cortes-Acosta vs GazievMain Card · Heavyweight
DH
Tsarukyan vs HookerMain Card · Lightweight
BM
IG
Muhammad vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight
VO
AM
Oezdemir vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JH
MO
Hermansson vs OrolbaiMain Card · Welterweight
AP
AA
Perez vs AlmabayevPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BG
LR
Grad vs RileyPreliminary Card · Featherweight
AY
RC
Yakhyaev vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
TU
KH
Ulanbekov vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight
BA
AT
Almakhan vs TopuriaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
IN
RL
Naurdiev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight
NA
SR
Aliev vs RockPreliminary Card · Lightweight
ND
SI
Dalby vs IzagakhmaevPreliminary Card · Welterweight
MB
DF
Bujło vs FreemanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
WC
SG
Cortes-Acosta vs GazievMain Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Muhammad v Machado Garry
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Muhammad 24-5
VS
15-0 Machado Garry
5'11"
height
6'3"
171 lb
weight
171 lb
72"
reach
74"
37
age
28
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.5
strikes landed / min
5.5
47%
striking accuracy
55%
3.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
59%
striking defence
52%
4.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.8
46%
takedown accuracy
55%
77%
takedown defence
69%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FI
FightCircuit picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“Ian Machado Garry by 3027 decision.”
FightCircuit picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“Ian Machado Garry by 3027 decision.”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“we got Belal Belal Muhammad versus Machado NOT_IN_ROSTER_39. ... I'm going with Gary in this one.”
$3.20
The Rambling Dad picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“we got Belal Belal Muhammad versus Machado NOT_IN_ROSTER_39. ... I'm going with Gary in this one.”
$3.20
FI
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Ian Machado Garry
“I'm taking Ian Machado Garry.”
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Ian Machado Garry
“I'm taking Ian Machado Garry.”
DM
DMan&MariPulls picks Ian Machado Garry
“I'm going for Ian Machado Garry on this one to beat Belal Muhammad”
DMan&MariPulls picks Ian Machado Garry
“I'm going for Ian Machado Garry on this one to beat Belal Muhammad”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“I'm going to have to go with Ian Machado Garry”
etoft21 sports picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“I'm going to have to go with Ian Machado Garry”
AM
Anchor MMA picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I got Belal Muhammad by masterclass unanimous decision”
Anchor MMA picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I got Belal Muhammad by masterclass unanimous decision”
MC
MMA CTRL picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I think Ian Machado Garry is going to get the job done via decision.”
MMA CTRL picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I think Ian Machado Garry is going to get the job done via decision.”
FF
Four Ounce Fanatic picks Belal Muhammad
“Belal Muhammad to win this fight”
Four Ounce Fanatic picks Belal Muhammad
“Belal Muhammad to win this fight”
FA
Faustlife19 picks Ian Machado Garry
“So, for my prediction, I got Ian Machado Garry.”
Faustlife19 picks Ian Machado Garry
“So, for my prediction, I got Ian Machado Garry.”
SS
SledgeHammer Sports picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“I am going with Ian Machado Garry Mashado Ian Machado Garry to beat NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 Muhammad in this fight.”
SledgeHammer Sports picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“I am going with Ian Machado Garry Mashado Ian Machado Garry to beat NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 Muhammad in this fight.”
DO
DonDaDa02 picks Ian Machado Garry
“I think Ian Machado Garry has a really good showing in and I feel like Ian Machado Garry will be next”
DonDaDa02 picks Ian Machado Garry
“I think Ian Machado Garry has a really good showing in and I feel like Ian Machado Garry will be next”
BG
Bettor in Green picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I like Belal Muhammad here. I actually do like Belal Muhammad here. Plus 220. Uh, bets on Belal Muhammad. Sharp movement. ... It's a decision victory here. So, give me Belal Muhammad”
$3.20
Bettor in Green picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I like Belal Muhammad here. I actually do like Belal Muhammad here. Plus 220. Uh, bets on Belal Muhammad. Sharp movement. ... It's a decision victory here. So, give me Belal Muhammad”
$3.20
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Muhammad24-5
L
Bonfim
Jun '26
L
Garry
Nov '25
L
Maddalena
May '25
W
Edwards
Jul '24
W
Burns
May '23
Machado Garry15-0
W
Muhammad
Nov '25
W
Prates
Apr '25
L
Rakhmonov
Dec '24
W
Page
Jun '24
W
Neal
Feb '24