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UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
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AT DH Tsarukyan vs HookerMain Card · Lightweight BM IG Muhammad vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight VO AM Oezdemir vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight JH MO Hermansson vs OrolbaiMain Card · Welterweight AP AA Perez vs AlmabayevPreliminary Card · Flyweight BG LR Grad vs RileyPreliminary Card · Featherweight AY RC Yakhyaev vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight TU KH Ulanbekov vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight BA AT Almakhan vs TopuriaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight IN RL Naurdiev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight NA SR Aliev vs RockPreliminary Card · Lightweight ND SI Dalby vs IzagakhmaevPreliminary Card · Welterweight MB DF Bujło vs FreemanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight WC SG Cortes-Acosta vs GazievMain Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hermansson v Orolbai Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus132 picks · conf 99/99
Hermansson 48
84 Orolbai
EMSCBH pick Hermansson
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hermansson 24-9 VS 15-2-1 Orolbai
6'1" height 5'10"
185 lb weight 170 lb
78" reach 74"
38 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 3.4
44% striking accuracy 48%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.4
56% striking defence 49%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 5.4
30% takedown accuracy 43%
80% takedown defence 40%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Jack Hermansson VALUE “I'm going to go and pick Oral B to get this done via decision.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Myktybek Orolbai “I'm taking Myktybek Orolbai.”
ES etoft21 sports picks Jack Hermansson VALUE “Jack Hermansson's record at 8,200”
AM Anchor MMA picks Jack Hermansson VALUE “I got Jack Hermansson by unanimous decision”
MC MMA CTRL picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE “Myktybek Orolbai by taking on Jack Hermansson at 170 lbs... I think Jack Hermansson is going to get the decision victory.”
MC MMA CTRL picks Jack Hermansson VALUE “I think Jack Hermansson is going to get the decision victory over Mick Tybeck.”
FA Faustlife19 picks Myktybek Orolbai “I got Myktybek Orolbai by”
RE RealMNPicks picks Jack Hermansson “Jack Hermansson's 37 and got 75% confidence.”
MC MMA Baat Chit picks Jack Hermansson “going ahead with the reach advantage I would go ahead with Jack Hermansson”
MN MNPicks picks Myktybek Orolbai “I'm taking Myktybek Orolbai at 70%.”
BE BetFighter picks Jack Hermansson “bet on him winning by submission”
AO Andrew Osantowski picks Myktybek Orolbai “I'm going to side with a Myktybek Orolbai”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hermansson24-9
L Orolbai KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
L Rodrigues KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
W Pyfer Decision · R5 Feb '24
L Dolidze KO/TKO · R2 Dec '22
W Curtis Decision · R3 Jul '22
Orolbai15-2-1
W Curtis Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Hermansson KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Musayev Submission · R1 Jun '25
L Rębecki Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Brener Decision · R3 May '24