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UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Lacerda v Oliveira Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus68 picks · conf 75/99
Lacerda 57
11 Oliveira
TTHTYI pick Lacerda
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Lacerda 13-3 VS 18-7 Oliveira
5'7" height 5'4"
136 lb weight 144 lb
72" reach 72"
33 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.2 strikes landed / min 3.5
48% striking accuracy 41%
2.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.7
49% striking defence 48%
2.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
57% takedown accuracy 64%
58% takedown defence 72%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Luan Lacerda VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Luan Lacerda “I'm gonna go ahead and just take Lucera for those.”
GI GipperPicks picks Luan Lacerda VALUE “I like Luan Lacerda a lot as a moneyline parlay.” $1.36
FI Fight_Numerology picks Luan Lacerda “I'm picking Simon to win this one.”
KU Kunath picks Saimon Oliveira “Saimon Oliveira showed up 8 lb overweight to his fight at 135 lbs. That's a cause for concern.”
KU Kunath picks Luan Lacerda VALUE “I think Luan Lacerda came in prepared and I think Simon Ola did not. So, as far as your cash games go, I think Luan Lacerda is a fine play.”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Saimon Oliveira “I'm going to go with Saimon Oliveira. That is, not having lost those 9 pounds is a disadvantage that you have, that is, that your rival suffered.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Luan Lacerda VALUE “I will be betting Luon Luan Lacerda to take the win.”
GI GiulianoArgenti picks Luan Lacerda “I'm going to take uh Luan Lacerda Merta.”
GI GiulianoArgenti picks Saimon Oliveira “Kyle's taking Simon Alivera.”
MU MustardKetchupMayo1000 picks Luan Lacerda “I'm taking Luan Lacerda decision”
IP Inside The Cage Podcast picks Luan Lacerda VALUE “I'm going to go with Luan Lacerda here solely because he has shown that he's actually has some upside in his fights when Saimon Oliveira has not.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Lacerda13-3
L Sosa Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Oliveira Submission · R2 Oct '25
L Blackshear KO/TKO · R2 Jun '23
L Stamann Decision · R3 Jan '23
Oliveira18-7
L Lacerda Submission · R2 Oct '25
L Martínez KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Marcos KO/TKO · R2 Jan '23
L Gravely Decision · R3 Jan '22