MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
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CO MG Oliveira vs GamrotMain Card · Lightweight DF MJ Figueiredo vs JacksonMain Card · Bantamweight VL JÁ Luque vs ÁlvarezMain Card · Welterweight JD MP Diniz vs PintoMain Card · Heavyweight RR KO Ramos vs OfliMain Card · Featherweight LA MA Almeida vs AswellPreliminary Card · Featherweight JF CC Filho vs CarpenterPreliminary Card · Flyweight VP TP Petrino vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight BM IA Mesquita vs AlekseevaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight LR SN Rocha vs NicollPreliminary Card · Flyweight JP KK Polastri vs KowalkiewiczPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight LL SO Lacerda vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Oliveira v Gamrot Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus196 picks · conf 99/99
Oliveira 124
72 Gamrot
파ETNEL pick Oliveira
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Oliveira 36-11 VS 26-4 Gamrot
5'10" height 5'10"
156 lb weight 156 lb
74" reach 70"
36 age 35
Orthodox stance Southpaw
3.7 strikes landed / min 4.9
48% striking accuracy 55%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
53% striking defence 68%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
44% takedown accuracy 44%
57% takedown defence 89%
2.1 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BI Birddogmma picks Charles Oliveira “I have one and a half units. Might even bump it to two on the money line for Charles Oliveira.”
GM GLO MMA picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE
ES etoft21 sports picks Charles Oliveira VALUE “Give me Game Gam here minus 105.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Mateusz Gamrot “I'm going with Matus Mateusz Gamrot. I'm going to say he subs Charles.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Charles Oliveira “I'm taking the home team. I'm taking the underdog in Brazil. Charles Charles Oliveira at plus money.”
MM Moneyball MMA picks Charles Oliveira VALUE “Charles Oliveira by submission or knockout at plus 150.” $2.50
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Charles Oliveira VALUE “Charles Oliveira NOT_IN_ROSTER_19 to win”
LO Lowking.pl picks Charles Oliveira VALUE “lowsiise Charles Oliveira, toh yot celta”
LO Lowking.pl picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE “Anu Mateusz Gamrot yot celta”
GI GipperPicks picks Charles Oliveira VALUE “I really like Charles Oliveira here.” $1.95
PV Predicciones UFC - VainillaUFC picks Mateusz Gamrot “Mendoj se ekziston një rrezik i madh që Charles Oliveira mund ta kapë atë me një gijotinë dhe në fund humbi... Charles Oliveira gjithashtu vjen në një kohë e keqe... tani shkon kundër Mateusz Gamrot, një qërues që është mjaft i mbërthyer, vëllim i lartë goditjesh.”
FV First Strike - VSiN picks Charles Oliveira VALUE “I will be playing Charles Oliveira Charles Oliveira in this main main event against Gamro.” $1.89
Recent form last five, most recent first
Oliveira36-11
W Holloway Decision · R5 Mar '26
W Gamrot Submission · R2 Oct '25
L Topuria KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
W Chandler Decision · R5 Nov '24
L Tsarukyan Decision · R3 Apr '24
Gamrot26-4
W Ribovics Submission · R2 Apr '26
L Oliveira Submission · R2 Oct '25
W Klein Decision · R3 May '25
L Hooker Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Anjos Decision · R3 Mar '24