MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
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CO MG Oliveira vs GamrotMain Card · Lightweight DF MJ Figueiredo vs JacksonMain Card · Bantamweight VL JÁ Luque vs ÁlvarezMain Card · Welterweight JD MP Diniz vs PintoMain Card · Heavyweight RR KO Ramos vs OfliMain Card · Featherweight LA MA Almeida vs AswellPreliminary Card · Featherweight JF CC Filho vs CarpenterPreliminary Card · Flyweight VP TP Petrino vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight BM IA Mesquita vs AlekseevaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight LR SN Rocha vs NicollPreliminary Card · Flyweight JP KK Polastri vs KowalkiewiczPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight LL SO Lacerda vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Figueiredo v Jackson Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus95 picks · conf 83/99
Figueiredo 38
57 Jackson
TUSBIP pick Figueiredo
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Figueiredo 25-6-1 VS 15-3 Jackson
5'5" height 5'10"
138 lb weight 136 lb
68" reach 75"
38 age 34
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.2 strikes landed / min 5.8
44% striking accuracy 52%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.3
46% striking defence 71%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
37% takedown accuracy 67%
58% takedown defence 55%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Montel Jackson VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Montel Jackson “I guess I'll go with Montel Jackson.”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Montel Jackson VALUE “I'm for Montel Jackson”
GI GipperPicks picks Montel Jackson “I like Montel Jackson in this fight.” $1.31
GI GipperPicks picks Deiveson Figueiredo “I do lean Deiveson Figueiredo now.”
KU Kunath picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE “paying up a little bit for Deiveson Figueiredo is not a terrible idea in my opinion.”
KU Kunath picks Montel Jackson VALUE “Montel Jackson's going to hit harder than he's ever seen in his life.”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Montel Jackson VALUE “give me Montel Jackson decision round number three. All decision all decision at all.”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Deiveson Figueiredo “I'm going with the god of war in the corner-to-corner decision.”
SO SOKRATES-MMA picks Montel Jackson “7inhb Inch Reach Advantage for Montel Jackson. That's a huge advantage... Montel Jackson is a very fast and precise striker... Montel Jackson's speed should definitely... Montel Jackson will of course do everything he can to defend the takedowns well”
TS Teddy Striker picks Montel Jackson “I think I'm going to go with Montel Jackson getting this done by a 2928 decision victory.”
LI Livershot picks Deiveson Figueiredo “I mean, Deiveson Figueiredo shouldn't. I mean, I hope he's going to get the win against Montel Jackson, but I don't know.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Figueiredo25-6-1
L Yadong Submission · R2 May '26
L Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Jackson Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Sandhagen KO/TKO · R2 May '25
L Yan Decision · R5 Nov '24
Jackson15-3
L Barcelos Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Figueiredo Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Marcos Decision · R3 May '25
W Blackshear KO/TKO · R1 Jul '24
W Yahya KO/TKO · R1 Apr '23