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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Almeida v Aswell
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Almeida 15-5
VS
11-5 Aswell
5'11"
height
5'8"
145 lb
weight
146 lb
71"
reach
69"
35
age
25
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.1
strikes landed / min
4.8
62%
striking accuracy
42%
3.6
strikes absorbed / min
2.3
50%
striking defence
59%
2.7
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
50%
takedown accuracy
41%
72%
takedown defence
57%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Michael Aswell VALUE
GLO MMA picks Michael Aswell VALUE
ES
etoft21 sports picks Lucas Almeida VALUE
“I'm pretty high that uh your boy Joel Álvarez here gets the submission.”
etoft21 sports picks Lucas Almeida VALUE
“I'm pretty high that uh your boy Joel Álvarez here gets the submission.”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Michael Aswell
“I think I'm just going to go with Michael Aswell.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Michael Aswell
“I think I'm just going to go with Michael Aswell.”
GI
GipperPicks picks Michael Aswell VALUE
“I'm wagering on... Michael Aswell significant strikes over 76 and a half.”
GipperPicks picks Michael Aswell VALUE
“I'm wagering on... Michael Aswell significant strikes over 76 and a half.”
VI
VinceMMA picks Michael Aswell VALUE
“Thomas Petersen Michael Aswell by unanimous decision”
VinceMMA picks Michael Aswell VALUE
“Thomas Petersen Michael Aswell by unanimous decision”
KU
Kunath picks Lucas Almeida
“I think if he throws this kind of volume at Lucas Almeida, he's going to knock him out.”
Kunath picks Lucas Almeida
“I think if he throws this kind of volume at Lucas Almeida, he's going to knock him out.”
KU
Kunath picks Michael Aswell VALUE
“I think if he throws this kind of volume at Lucas Almeida, he's going to knock him out.”
Kunath picks Michael Aswell VALUE
“I think if he throws this kind of volume at Lucas Almeida, he's going to knock him out.”
TS
Teddy Striker picks Michael Aswell
“I think Michael Aswell is going to take this one... I think Mike as well is going to win himself a 29 28 decision victory.”
Teddy Striker picks Michael Aswell
“I think Michael Aswell is going to take this one... I think Mike as well is going to win himself a 29 28 decision victory.”
HN
Hidden Source News picks Lucas Almeida
“My pick is going to be Lucas Lucas Almeida to take the win.”
Hidden Source News picks Lucas Almeida
“My pick is going to be Lucas Lucas Almeida to take the win.”
MP
MMA Gems Podcast picks Michael Aswell
“I'm going to side with Asell.”
MMA Gems Podcast picks Michael Aswell
“I'm going to side with Asell.”
OP
Oddass Podcast picks Michael Aswell VALUE
“We both got Michael Aswell.”
Oddass Podcast picks Michael Aswell VALUE
“We both got Michael Aswell.”
IP
Inside The Cage Podcast picks Lucas Almeida VALUE
“I'm going to go with Lucas Almeida here.”
$2.35
Inside The Cage Podcast picks Lucas Almeida VALUE
“I'm going to go with Lucas Almeida here.”
$2.35
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Almeida15-5
L
Aswell
Oct '25
L
Silva
Mar '25
W
Cuamba
Jun '24
L
Fili
Dec '23
L
Sabatini
Jun '23
Aswell11-5
W
Almeida
Oct '25
L
Oki
May '25