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The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Long 0-0
VS
15-8-1 Su-young
5'8"
height
5'9"
136 lb
weight
233 lb
70"
reach
69"
28
age
—
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.6
strikes landed / min
4.6
53%
striking accuracy
49%
3.6
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
52%
striking defence
63%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
3.0
69%
takedown accuracy
44%
60%
takedown defence
62%
1.4
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks You Su-young VALUE
“I'm picking NOT_IN_ROSTER_30 NOT_IN_ROSTER_31 to get this done.”
GM
GLO MMA picks Xiao Long VALUE
“I'm going to go and pick uh Yong Yong. Get this done by Decision via the grappling.”
MR
Milo Reyes picks Xiao Long VALUE
“I got Xiao Long winning 100%... He'll finish him. Su Young does not have good striking... It'll end in a knockout.”
MM
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks You Su-young
“I think that um Yu is the more technical guy and he should get the victory.”
FM
FORGE MMA picks Xiao Long
“I'm going to pick Xiao Long.”
TM
The MMA Mystic picks Xiao Long
“I'm going to go with Xiao Long on this one.”
E!
Erok ! picks You Su-young VALUE
“We're totally taking my boy right there. Absolutely. Absolutely. 100%.”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks You Su-young
“I'm picking You Su-young to win this fight only because I want to see You Su-young versus NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 as a future matchup.”
LS
Last Real Sport picks Xiao Long VALUE
“I'm picking Zho Long to win this fight.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Long0-0
L
Garbrandt
Mar '26
L
Su-young
Aug '25
W
Le
Nov '24
L
Chang-ho
Jun '24
Su-young15-8-1
L
Smith
Mar '26
W
Long
Aug '25
W
Cunningham
Mar '25
W
Jieleyisi
Nov '24