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Ortega vs SterlingMain Card · Catchweight
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Pavlovich vs Cortes-AcostaMain Card · Heavyweight
US
DN
Satybaldiev vs NurgozhayPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
LK
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Kavanagh vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Mudaerji vs BorjasMain Card · Flyweight
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Nueraji vs CrosbieMain Card · Welterweight
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Hayisaer vs YoungPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Zhu vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Nueraji v Crosbie
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Nueraji 12-1
VS
10-6 Crosbie
6'2"
height
5'11"
170 lb
weight
170 lb
75"
reach
70"
25
age
36
Southpaw
stance
Switch
2.1
strikes landed / min
5.2
36%
striking accuracy
49%
4.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
46%
striking defence
48%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
2.6
28%
takedown accuracy
40%
89%
takedown defence
77%
1.5
submissions / 15 min
1.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Taiyilake Nueraji
“I'm going with the violent prospect. I'm going with Taiyilake Nueraji.”
$1.20
MMA EXPERTS picks Taiyilake Nueraji
“I'm going with the violent prospect. I'm going with Taiyilake Nueraji.”
$1.20
WP
We Want Picks picks Taiyilake Nueraji VALUE
“not only am I picking Nuri, I'm going to be putting him in my lineup as well. I think he can finish Kefir”
We Want Picks picks Taiyilake Nueraji VALUE
“not only am I picking Nuri, I'm going to be putting him in my lineup as well. I think he can finish Kefir”
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Taiyilake Nueraji
“give me Taiyilake Nueraji to win.”
Leftlane MMA picks Taiyilake Nueraji
“give me Taiyilake Nueraji to win.”
LM
Livid Larry MMA picks Taiyilake Nueraji VALUE
“I have ended up choosing Taiyilake Nueraji as my favorite lock of the card.”
Livid Larry MMA picks Taiyilake Nueraji VALUE
“I have ended up choosing Taiyilake Nueraji as my favorite lock of the card.”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Taiyilake Nueraji
“I do agree with the line... but definitely not going to the window with it.”
Mayo Media Network picks Taiyilake Nueraji
“I do agree with the line... but definitely not going to the window with it.”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Kiefer Crosbie VALUE
“I might lean toward Keifer Crosby.”
Mayo Media Network picks Kiefer Crosbie VALUE
“I might lean toward Keifer Crosby.”
OM
Ojae MMA picks Taiyilake Nueraji
“he's going to win this fight probably by knockout.”
Ojae MMA picks Taiyilake Nueraji
“he's going to win this fight probably by knockout.”
MS
MMA Gambling Podcast - SGPN picks Taiyilake Nueraji
“let's go with Taiyilake Nueraji. Hopefully he is a fun uh new prospect that will trade for us.”
$1.26
MMA Gambling Podcast - SGPN picks Taiyilake Nueraji
“let's go with Taiyilake Nueraji. Hopefully he is a fun uh new prospect that will trade for us.”
$1.26
AO
Armchair Octagon picks Kiefer Crosbie
“I'm going Gage Young on this one.”
Armchair Octagon picks Kiefer Crosbie
“I'm going Gage Young on this one.”
AO
Armchair Octagon picks Taiyilake Nueraji
“I'm taking Naraji in this one.”
Armchair Octagon picks Taiyilake Nueraji
“I'm taking Naraji in this one.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nueraji12-1
W
Crosbie
Aug '25
Crosbie10-6
L
Nueraji
Aug '25
L
Patterson
Jul '24
L
Jousset
Sep '23