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UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Parkin v Pogues Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus30 picks · conf 54/99
Parkin 16
14 Pogues
EP1TMA pick Parkin
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Parkin 10-0 VS 11-4 Pogues
6'4" height 6'3"
260 lb weight 264 lb
79" reach 77"
30 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 3.4
52% striking accuracy 44%
4.2 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
58% striking defence 50%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 2.4
41% takedown accuracy 48%
50% takedown defence 77%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jamal Pogues “the official call is Jamal Pogues by decision” $1.65
WP We Want Picks picks Jamal Pogues VALUE “I think Jamal Pogues wins this fight if Jamal Pogues wins this fight I think he can score really really well” $90.00
HY Hypecheck picks Jamal Pogues “I guess I'll side with Jamal Pogues purely due to his experience Advantage” $1.61
BF Bobby Bets Fights picks Jamal Pogues “for the pick I'm going with Jamal Pogues like I said I think he's just gonna jab Parkin's face off”
PR Premium-Picks picks Mick Parkin “I'll root for parking because I don't want to root for a wrestler I don't want to root for a grinder”
PR Premium-Picks picks Jamal Pogues VALUE “give me an all to win this fight as an underdog if you're picking him maybe you go by knockout for more value but he's already plus money so just give me your nose the underdog”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jamal Pogues VALUE “I am picking Jamal Pogues to win because of the lack of high-level experience by Mick Parkin” $1.62
BB Blood Money MMA Bets picks Jamal Pogues “Mick Parkin vs Jamal Pogues”
BB Blood Money MMA Bets picks Mick Parkin VALUE “I think mardov wins this one”
AD Addicted2Combat picks Jamal Pogues “most confident fighter is Tom Aspinall Molly McCann Makhmud Muradov Nathaniel Wood André Muniz Lerone Murphy Farès Ziam Daniel Bárez Jonny Parsons Joel Álvarez Davey Grant Chris Duncan Jamal Pogues Pannie Kianzad and least confident fighter is Shauna Bannon”
EB ESPN BET picks Mick Parkin VALUE “I'm taking Mick Parkin park into 6-0 all wins by finish against Jamal Pogues Jamal Pogues Pogues” $2.20
JR JrBlessed picks Mick Parkin VALUE “I'm just gonna go Mick Parkin at the underdog spot to win this fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Parkin10-0
L Tybura Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Brzeski KO/TKO · R1 Jul '24
W Usman Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Machado Decision · R3 Nov '23
W Pogues Decision · R3 Jul '23
Pogues11-4
L Abdelwahab Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Petersen Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Parkin Decision · R3 Jul '23
W Parisian Decision · R3 Feb '23