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UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
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TA MT Aspinall vs TyburaMain Card · Heavyweight JS MM Stoliarenko vs McCannMain Card · Women'S Flyweight NW AF Wood vs FiliMain Card · Featherweight PC AM Craig vs MunizMain Card · Middleweight FZ JH Ziam vs HerbertMain Card · Lightweight LM JC Murphy vs CulibaoMain Card · Featherweight DM DG Marcos vs GrantMain Card · Bantamweight JP DR Parsons vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Welterweight MD Álvarez vs DiakiesePreliminary Card · Lightweight MP JP Parkin vs PoguesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight MM BB Muradov vs BarberenaPreliminary Card · Middleweight KV PK Vieira vs KianzadPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight CD YA Duncan vs AshmouzPreliminary Card · Lightweight BB SB Brasil vs BannonPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JF DB Filho vs BárezPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Wood v Fili Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus44 picks · conf 65/99
Wood 35
9 Fili
DBPBC1 pick Wood
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Wood 22-6 VS 25-13 Fili
5'6" height 5'11"
146 lb weight 145 lb
69" reach 74"
33 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 3.9
51% striking accuracy 37%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
56% striking defence 51%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 2.1
48% takedown accuracy 43%
72% takedown defence 70%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM The MMA-Holes picks Nathaniel Wood “I feel like I should pick Nathaniel Wood I feel like that's a should pick Nathaniel Wood I feel like that's a smarter pick like a decision”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Nathaniel Wood “I'm picking Nathaniel wood to win” $1.49
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Andre Fili VALUE “I think Philly is a live Underdog” $2.80
WP We Want Picks picks Nathaniel Wood “I think Nathaniel Wood wins this fight but I think he's probably a little overpriced” $93.00
WP We Want Picks picks Nathaniel Wood VALUE “I think Nathaniel Wood gonna be a little faster a little starper a little cleaner and should be able to get it done”
RA Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Andre Fili VALUE “I'm taking Andre Andre Fili Andre Fili touchy feely to beat Nathaniel Nathaniel Wood” $2.66
HY Hypecheck picks Nathaniel Wood “Andre Farès Ziamili wood is the favorite of minus 217 and Andre Farès Ziamili is the underdog at plus 165” $1.46
BM Bert MMA picks Nathaniel Wood “Nathaniel Wood Andre Fili very very close one if Andre can keep range she probably wins”
CC Combat Crazy picks Nathaniel Wood “I'm going with uh hold on this one no you're going with suicide Nathaniel Nathaniel Wood would yeah”
BF Bobby Bets Fights picks Nathaniel Wood VALUE “give me Nathaniel Wood against Andre Philly” $1.53
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Andre Fili VALUE “I'm going with the side of Andre Fili to win but I recognize borres is difficult to deal with” $1.83
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Nathaniel Wood VALUE “I've been picking Nathaniel Nathaniel Wood to win this fight” $1.48
Recent form last five, most recent first
Wood22-6
W Keita Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Delgado Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Charrière Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Pineda Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Naimov Decision · R3 Oct '23
Fili25-13
L Oliveira KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L Delgado Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Rodriguez Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Costa Submission · R1 Feb '25
W Swanson Decision · R3 Jun '24