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UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Murphy v Culibao Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus33 picks · conf 56/99
Murphy 25
8 Culibao
HECHMU pick Murphy
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Murphy 17-0-1 VS 11-4-1 Culibao
5'9" height 5'10"
146 lb weight 146 lb
73" reach 73"
34 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.8 strikes landed / min 3.4
54% striking accuracy 44%
2.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
60% striking defence 59%
1.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
54% takedown accuracy 0%
48% takedown defence 65%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM The MMA-Holes picks Lerone Murphy “Lerone Murphy Split uh Lerone Murphy Split uh Lerone Murphy Split Decision”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Lerone Murphy VALUE “I'm picking Josh kulabeo to win” $2.15
BC Blessed Collector picks Lerone Murphy “I'm on the Lerone Murphy hype train I got Lerone Murphy”
WP We Want Picks picks Lerone Murphy “I like Lerone Murphy to win” $89.00
HY Hypecheck picks Lerone Murphy “betting wise I think Lerone Murphy will get the nod purely due to his better defense and volume” $1.65
CC Combat Crazy picks Lerone Murphy “I think Lerone Murphy Murphy will win this by decision”
PR Premium-Picks picks Joshua Culibao “I think Lauren Murphy is gonna win here because this is going to decision”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Joshua Culibao VALUE “I am picking the side of Josh Joshua Culibao over Laurel Lerone Murphy” $2.16
BB Blood Money MMA Bets picks Joshua Culibao “Lerone Murphy vs Joshua Culibao”
BB Blood Money MMA Bets picks Lerone Murphy “Lerone Murphy vs Joshua Culibao”
SH Sherdog.com picks Lerone Murphy VALUE “I'm going for matters flaminas against Daniel skibinski engage Warriors is plus 120” $2.20
AD Addicted2Combat picks Lerone Murphy “most confident fighter is Tom Aspinall Molly McCann Makhmud Muradov Nathaniel Wood André Muniz Lerone Murphy Farès Ziam Daniel Bárez Jonny Parsons Joel Álvarez Davey Grant Chris Duncan Jamal Pogues Pannie Kianzad and least confident fighter is Shauna Bannon”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Murphy17-0-1
L Evloev Decision · R5 Mar '26
W Pico KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Emmett Decision · R5 Apr '25
W Ige Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Barboza Decision · R5 May '24
Culibao11-4-1
L Ramos Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Silva Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Murphy Decision · R3 Jul '23
W Baghdasaryan Submission · R2 Feb '23
W Choi Decision · R3 Jun '22