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UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
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TA MT Aspinall vs TyburaMain Card · Heavyweight JS MM Stoliarenko vs McCannMain Card · Women'S Flyweight NW AF Wood vs FiliMain Card · Featherweight PC AM Craig vs MunizMain Card · Middleweight FZ JH Ziam vs HerbertMain Card · Lightweight LM JC Murphy vs CulibaoMain Card · Featherweight DM DG Marcos vs GrantMain Card · Bantamweight JP DR Parsons vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Welterweight JÁ MD Álvarez vs DiakiesePreliminary Card · Lightweight MP JP Parkin vs PoguesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight MM BB Muradov vs BarberenaPreliminary Card · Middleweight KV PK Vieira vs KianzadPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight CD YA Duncan vs AshmouzPreliminary Card · Lightweight BB SB Brasil vs BannonPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JF DB Filho vs BárezPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Craig v Muniz Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus48 picks · conf 68/99
Craig 20
28 Muniz
DFEMTA pick Craig
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Craig 17-10-1 VS 24-8 Muniz
6'3" height 6'1"
205 lb weight 185 lb
76" reach 78"
38 age 36
Orthodox stance Southpaw
3.2 strikes landed / min 5.2
48% striking accuracy 50%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.9
52% striking defence 59%
0.9 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
60% takedown accuracy 54%
80% takedown defence 63%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Paul Craig VALUE “I'm on the Chris Chris Duncan side”
DR DraftKings picks Paul Craig VALUE “give me the dog give me Paul Craig” $2.70
TM The MMA-Holes picks André Muniz “I'm picking André Muniz I'm gonna pick right I'm picking André Muniz I'm picking decision sorry I'm not doing it I can't do it I'm not doing it I'm picking André Muniz I'm I'm not doing it I'm picking André Muniz”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks André Muniz VALUE “I will pick André Muniz to win” $2.75
WP We Want Picks picks André Muniz VALUE “I do think André Muniz wins and I think André Muniz is probably worth the money” $94.00
RA Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Paul Craig VALUE “I'm gonna go with uh Paul Craig Paul Craig Craig” $2.80
HY Hypecheck picks Paul Craig VALUE “I actually like Paul Paul Craig in this spot at these odds” $2.75
BM Bert MMA picks André Muniz VALUE “slight leans with André Muniz Mick Park and Nathaniel wood for scium”
CC Combat Crazy picks Paul Craig “assuming that the weight cut goes well for Paul Craig Paul Craig Craig I'm going with Paul Craig Paul Craig Craig”
CC Combat Crazy picks André Muniz “I think André André Muniz should win”
BF Bobby Bets Fights picks André Muniz “I really do like menus in that fight” $1.47
PR Premium-Picks picks André Muniz “I'm going to play minis in a YOLO but that's because I don't respect Paul Craig” $1.44
Recent form last five, most recent first
Craig17-10-1
L Bukauskas KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
L Nickal Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Borralho KO/TKO · R2 May '24
L Allen Submission · R3 Nov '23
W Muniz KO/TKO · R2 Jul '23
Muniz24-8
L Shahbazyan KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
L Aliskerov KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Jun-yong Decision · R3 Dec '23
L Craig KO/TKO · R2 Jul '23
L Allen Submission · R3 Feb '23