Choose a fight to analyse
IT
AV
Topuria vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Featherweight
RW
PC
Whittaker vs CostaMain Card · Middleweight
IG
GN
Garry vs NealMain Card · Welterweight
MD
HC
Dvalishvili vs CejudoMain Card · Bantamweight
AH
RK
Hernandez vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight
AL
MD
Lemos vs DernPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
ML
JT
Lima vs TafaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
RN
CV
Nakamura vs VeraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
ZM
BR
Mingyang vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
DB
JQ
Barlow vs QuinlanEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
OE
VW
Elliott vs WoodburnEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
MM
AL
Maverick vs LeeEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
AV
Topuria vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Featherweight
RW
PC
Whittaker vs CostaMain Card · Middleweight
IG
GN
Garry vs NealMain Card · Welterweight
MD
HC
Dvalishvili vs CejudoMain Card · Bantamweight
AH
RK
Hernandez vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight
AL
MD
Lemos vs DernPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
ML
JT
Lima vs TafaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
RN
CV
Nakamura vs VeraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
ZM
BR
Mingyang vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
DB
JQ
Barlow vs QuinlanEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
OE
VW
Elliott vs WoodburnEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
MM
AL
Maverick vs LeeEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Elliott v Woodburn
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Elliott 12-4
VS
7-2 Woodburn
6'0"
height
—
169 lb
weight
—
72"
reach
—
28
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.4
strikes landed / min
1.6
51%
striking accuracy
35%
2.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.9
72%
striking defence
36%
1.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
64%
takedown accuracy
100%
58%
takedown defence
50%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TP
The UFC Pundit picks Val Woodburn
“I'm going the Safe Way in picking a money line on Val Val Woodburn at plus 250”
$3.50
FI
FightBookMMA picks Oban Elliott VALUE
“I'm gonna pick obon Elliott”
FU
FunkMasterMMA picks Oban Elliott VALUE
“I think he can get it done”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Oban Elliott VALUE
“I'm going with Oban Elliott Elliott so 80% um he he wins this one”
KU
Kunath picks Val Woodburn VALUE
“Val Woodburn just needs to win”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Oban Elliott
“I'm picking Oban Elliott simply because I don't even feel Val Woodburn looks UFC level”
$1.32
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Oban Elliott
“I expect him to grind this fight out slowing down Woodburn and eventually finding a late finish in this matchup”
LF
Liam Picks Fights picks Val Woodburn VALUE
“Woodburn he's the side can't be betting this obang guy”
MM
Meo on MMA picks Val Woodburn
“I'm gonna go with Elliot by decision”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Elliott12-4
L
Micallef
Feb '26
L
Seok-hyun
Jun '25
W
Hafez
Nov '24
W
Parsons
Jul '24
W
Woodburn
Feb '24
Woodburn7-2
L
Elliott
Feb '24
L
Nickal
Jul '23