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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Mingyang v Ribeiro Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus28 picks · conf 52/99
Mingyang 19
9 Ribeiro
FHWLMB pick Mingyang
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mingyang 19-7 VS 17-9 Ribeiro
6'2" height 6'3"
205 lb weight 206 lb
76" reach 81"
27 age 29
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.1 strikes landed / min 3.6
37% striking accuracy 54%
3.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
49% striking defence 47%
0.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
49% takedown accuracy 55%
65% takedown defence 78%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Zhang Mingyang “Zhang Mingyang versus Brendson Ribeiro fight starts round three or no no distance foro to win”
BD Ben Davis picks Zhang Mingyang “we're going to go with uh we're going to go with Zhang Mingyang”
FI FightBookMMA picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE “I got Zhang Mingyang uh chin and Benderson hiio”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE “60% um Zhang Mingyang takes this one”
LS Lil Stray picks Zhang Mingyang “guess we going to lean towards Zhang Mingyang but I don't know too much about these Fighters so I I don't think I don't think I can really make a a clear pick here let's see what what other odds are we getting on this one over one and a half plus 230 this one is expected to be a finish how the fight will end take that by KO I think that's a good bet fight ends by KO yeah yeah that feels like the one”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Zhang Mingyang “I expect it to come through within the first or second round”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brendson Ribeiro VALUE “Brendson Ribeiro 7,800 I you got to have it this is a guy with a 100% finish rate”
TO The Golden Octagon picks Brendson Ribeiro VALUE “give me the slight dog here in um uh brendes Brendson Ribeiro”
PR Pub Sports Radio picks Brendson Ribeiro “going up against Brendson Ribeiro”
KC Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Zhang Mingyang “I'm leaning Zhang Mingyang”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Brendson Ribeiro “give me Brendson Ribeiro”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brendson Ribeiro VALUE “I'm gonna say robero”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mingyang19-7
L Menifield KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L Walker KO/TKO · R2 Aug '25
W Smith KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Diaz KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
W Ribeiro KO/TKO · R1 Feb '24
Ribeiro17-9
L Yakhyaev Submission · R1 Apr '26
L Sy KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
L Murzakanov KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
W Nurgozhay Submission · R2 Mar '25
W Machado Decision · R3 Nov '24