Robert Whittaker vs Paulo Costa · Fight IQ

UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria

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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Whittaker v Costa Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side

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Consensus77 picks · conf 78/99

Whittaker 55

22 Costa

pick Whittaker

Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side

Whittaker 27-8 VS 0-0 Costa

6'0" height 6'1"

185 lb weight 185 lb

74" reach 72"

35 age 35

Orthodox stance Orthodox

4.5 strikes landed / min 6.2

43% striking accuracy 58%

3.4 strikes absorbed / min 6.6

59% striking defence 49%

0.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.4

38% takedown accuracy 75%

81% takedown defence 80%

0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0

The model read

Deep research · camps & rumours

AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.

What the numbers say

Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.

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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight

RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Paulo Costa VALUE “I'm picking Paulo Costa” $1.43

RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Robert Whittaker VALUE “I'm picking Robert Whittaker” $1.48

UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Robert Whittaker “Robert Whittaker is the he is excellent Striker”

Broom picks Robert Whittaker “I'm going with Robert Whittaker one's I'm I'm going with Robert Whittaker I think it's the logical pick”

Ben Davis picks Robert Whittaker “I'm going to go with the reaper I think former champ gets it done Paulo Costa is so entertaining outside the Octagon but he hasn't really been inside of it much the last couple years”

FightBookMMA picks Robert Whittaker VALUE “I got him by KO round three”

ESPN BET picks Robert Whittaker VALUE “I like him to win by decision”

Skyler Dagley picks Robert Whittaker “give me Robert Whittaker in this fight man he's even got a longer reach too that's crazy of me Robert Whitaker is a longer reach than Costa that's crazy that is actually crazy to me”