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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Machado Garry v Neal
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Machado Garry 15-0
VS
16-7 Neal
6'3"
height
5'11"
171 lb
weight
171 lb
74"
reach
75"
28
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.5
strikes landed / min
5.0
55%
striking accuracy
51%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
5.4
52%
striking defence
57%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
0.6
55%
takedown accuracy
50%
69%
takedown defence
87%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
BR
Broom picks Geoff Neal
“I'm going Geoff Neal for the my happiness and health and wellbeing... I'm going Geoff Neal uh only one but I'm going Geoff Neal uh only because... but I'm going Geoff Neal for the decision but I'm going Geoff Neal for the main fact... I just think I just think Geoff Neal's boxing is a little too crisp... I think Geoff Neal is going to find a TKO late in the fight while...”
Broom picks Geoff Neal
“I'm going Geoff Neal for the my happiness and health and wellbeing... I'm going Geoff Neal uh only one but I'm going Geoff Neal uh only because... but I'm going Geoff Neal for the decision but I'm going Geoff Neal for the main fact... I just think I just think Geoff Neal's boxing is a little too crisp... I think Geoff Neal is going to find a TKO late in the fight while...”
BD
Ben Davis picks Geoff Neal
“I'm going to go with Jeff Neil in this one I think Jeff's fired up you know Jeff said that he's Beyond motivated”
Ben Davis picks Geoff Neal
“I'm going to go with Jeff Neil in this one I think Jeff's fired up you know Jeff said that he's Beyond motivated”
TP
The UFC Pundit picks Ian Machado Garry
“I am picking a money line on Ian Machado Garry atus 230 for a prop I think he gets the W by decision at plus 140”
$3.30
The UFC Pundit picks Ian Machado Garry
“I am picking a money line on Ian Machado Garry atus 230 for a prop I think he gets the W by decision at plus 140”
$3.30
FI
FightBookMMA picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“I think Ian Machado Garry is going to win by decision”
FightBookMMA picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“I think Ian Machado Garry is going to win by decision”
EB
ESPN BET picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“Ian is going to stay far away enough to get a decision win here”
ESPN BET picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“Ian is going to stay far away enough to get a decision win here”
MM
MMAFightingonSBN picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“if Ian wins that's going to headline some Fight Night for sure without question”
MMAFightingonSBN picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“if Ian wins that's going to headline some Fight Night for sure without question”
FU
FunkMasterMMA picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“I think the favorite here is definitely correct I think because Ian gar just has more tools to win”
FunkMasterMMA picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“I think the favorite here is definitely correct I think because Ian gar just has more tools to win”
BN
Bo Nickal picks Geoff Neal
“I'd take Ian I think he'll win that fight”
Bo Nickal picks Geoff Neal
“I'd take Ian I think he'll win that fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Ian Machado Garry
“obon Elliot's the pick”
We Want Picks picks Ian Machado Garry
“obon Elliot's the pick”
RA
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Geoff Neal
“Ian Machado Garry minus 225 and Anthony Hernandez minus 240 so he's uh got the two underdogs there with topura and Paulo Costa in the main and co-main but then going with some favorites with Gary and Hernandez”
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Geoff Neal
“Ian Machado Garry minus 225 and Anthony Hernandez minus 240 so he's uh got the two underdogs there with topura and Paulo Costa in the main and co-main but then going with some favorites with Gary and Hernandez”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Machado Garry15-0
W
Muhammad
Nov '25
W
Prates
Apr '25
L
Rakhmonov
Dec '24
W
Page
Jun '24
W
Neal
Feb '24
Neal16-7
L
Medić
Feb '26
L
Prates
Aug '25
W
Anjos
Oct '24
L
Garry
Feb '24
L
Rakhmonov
Mar '23