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UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
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IT AV Topuria vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Featherweight RW PC Whittaker vs CostaMain Card · Middleweight IG GN Garry vs NealMain Card · Welterweight MD HC Dvalishvili vs CejudoMain Card · Bantamweight AH RK Hernandez vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight AL MD Lemos vs DernPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight ML JT Lima vs TafaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight RN CV Nakamura vs VeraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight ZM BR Mingyang vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight DB JQ Barlow vs QuinlanEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight OE VW Elliott vs WoodburnEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight MM AL Maverick vs LeeEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Dvalishvili v Cejudo Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus56 picks · conf 71/99
Dvalishvili 36
20 Cejudo
FHMCML pick Dvalishvili
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Dvalishvili 21-4 VS 16-4 Cejudo
5'6" height 5'4"
135 lb weight 135 lb
68" reach 64"
35 age 39
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.3 strikes landed / min 3.8
39% striking accuracy 46%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
60% striking defence 60%
8.2 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
47% takedown accuracy 32%
76% takedown defence 75%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE “I'm taking Merab Dvalishvili” $1.38
FI FightBookMMA picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE “I'm going I'm going for the Mexican Merab Dvalishvili's going to win by decision”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE “probably morab cejudo um just because... I just think morab deales really should be fighting sha Ali”
RA Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Henry Cejudo “I'm staying away from it because like I say like Dave said Merab Dvalishvili should win but I'm not 100% convinced on it”
RA Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE “I'm gonna pick Merab Dvalishvili”
BG Bettor in Green picks Henry Cejudo VALUE “I'm going to side with Henry Cejudo” $2.85
AM Axel MMA picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE “I'm obviously going with morab deal to get this done”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Henry Cejudo VALUE “70% um Henry Cejudo Cejudo knocks out Merab”
BU Buffooniverse picks Henry Cejudo “I got Mo Rob the machine in this one I can't see him losing”
BO BoxingRealist picks Merab Dvalishvili “as for a five prediction I have Merab Dvalishvili by decision”
KU Kunath picks Henry Cejudo “I think Henry Cejudo wins this fight”
LS Lil Stray picks Merab Dvalishvili “Merab Dvalishvili gets this one done guys and it's it's it's kind of sad it's kind of sad to say I think Henry is going to retire after this one”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Dvalishvili21-4
L Yan Decision · R5 Dec '25
W Sandhagen Decision · R5 Oct '25
W O'Malley Submission · R3 Jun '25
W Nurmagomedov Decision · R5 Jan '25
W O'Malley Decision · R5 Sep '24
Cejudo16-4
L Talbott Decision · R3 Dec '25
L Yadong Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Dvalishvili Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Sterling Decision · R5 May '23
W Cruz KO/TKO · R2 May '20