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Almabayev vs NicolauPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Matsumoto vs KatonaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Font vs PhillipsMain Card · Bantamweight
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Johnson vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight
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Smotherman vs HadleyMain Card · Bantamweight
DE
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Elkins vs PinedaMain Card · Featherweight
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Almabayev vs NicolauPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Matsumoto vs KatonaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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TV
Edwards vs VidalPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Reed vs PennePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Matsumoto v Katona
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Matsumoto 17-2
VS
16-4 Katona
5'6"
height
5'6"
135 lb
weight
136 lb
69"
reach
65"
26
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.2
strikes landed / min
4.8
40%
striking accuracy
52%
5.0
strikes absorbed / min
4.7
46%
striking defence
50%
1.1
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
27%
takedown accuracy
34%
57%
takedown defence
61%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
“my subscribers and I went with Gan matumoto”
$1.41
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
“my subscribers and I went with Gan matumoto”
$1.41
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Jean Matsumoto
“I'm actually gonna pick Jean Matsumoto the upand comer to actually win by decision”
$1.44
Capper Comparison Picks picks Jean Matsumoto
“I'm actually gonna pick Jean Matsumoto the upand comer to actually win by decision”
$1.44
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
“I think Jean Matsumoto will face some adversity in this fight but it's going to be good adversity ... because he's going to learn a lot from a veteran like Brad Katona ... I don't see him getting his first loss against Brad Katona”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
“I think Jean Matsumoto will face some adversity in this fight but it's going to be good adversity ... because he's going to learn a lot from a veteran like Brad Katona ... I don't see him getting his first loss against Brad Katona”
KU
Kunath picks Jean Matsumoto
“I think Jean Matsumoto's probably got him covered”
Kunath picks Jean Matsumoto
“I think Jean Matsumoto's probably got him covered”
AD
All-Star DFS picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
“bra atona is a guy you have to play for starters he has honestly not not a bad line here plus 200 at 7.2k very reasonable take down upside that's like the biggest thing and neither guy I mean yeah neither guy has any real finishing upside so I think katona's the preferred side”
$3.00
All-Star DFS picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
“bra atona is a guy you have to play for starters he has honestly not not a bad line here plus 200 at 7.2k very reasonable take down upside that's like the biggest thing and neither guy I mean yeah neither guy has any real finishing upside so I think katona's the preferred side”
$3.00
HP
Hayjive Picks picks Brad Katona VALUE
“Brad Brad Katona Plus three and a half point spread I love it”
$1.83
Hayjive Picks picks Brad Katona VALUE
“Brad Brad Katona Plus three and a half point spread I love it”
$1.83
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Jean Matsumoto
“undefeated Jean Matsumoto takes on the two-time winner of The Ultimate Fighter Brad Katona”
MMAWeekly.com picks Jean Matsumoto
“undefeated Jean Matsumoto takes on the two-time winner of The Ultimate Fighter Brad Katona”
MC
MMA Vulture Clips picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
“give me Kylie Kyler Michel Pereirahillips to beat Rob Font and he's sitting at a negative 500”
MMA Vulture Clips picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
“give me Kylie Kyler Michel Pereirahillips to beat Rob Font and he's sitting at a negative 500”
TP
Touch 'Em Up Podcast picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
“I like the money line on Jean Matsumoto at minus 218”
$1.46
Touch 'Em Up Podcast picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
“I like the money line on Jean Matsumoto at minus 218”
$1.46
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
“I'm saying Matsumoto is going to get it over a three hard rounds”
$1.47
MMA EXPERTS picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
“I'm saying Matsumoto is going to get it over a three hard rounds”
$1.47
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Brad Katona VALUE
“eu vou colocar aí que o catona vence o combate e vence o combate por decisão”
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Brad Katona VALUE
“eu vou colocar aí que o catona vence o combate e vence o combate por decisão”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Brad Katona VALUE
“going with Brad Katona at 7.2k”
Mayo Media Network picks Brad Katona VALUE
“going with Brad Katona at 7.2k”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Matsumoto17-2
W
Almakhan
Jun '26
L
Basharat
Feb '26
W
Johns
Aug '25
L
Font
Feb '25
W
Katona
Oct '24
Katona16-4
L
Almakhan
May '25
L
Matsumoto
Oct '24
W
Butler
Jun '24
L
Armfield
Jan '24
W
Gibson
Aug '23