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Elkins vs PinedaMain Card · Featherweight
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Font vs PhillipsMain Card · Bantamweight
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Johnson vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight
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Smotherman vs HadleyMain Card · Bantamweight
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Elkins vs PinedaMain Card · Featherweight
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Almabayev vs NicolauPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Matsumoto vs KatonaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Edwards vs VidalPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Elkins v Pineda
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Elkins 29-11
VS
28-17 Pineda
5'10"
height
5'7"
145 lb
weight
145 lb
71"
reach
69"
42
age
40
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.4
strikes landed / min
2.9
38%
striking accuracy
49%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
51%
striking defence
45%
2.9
takedowns / 15 min
1.4
34%
takedown accuracy
24%
56%
takedown defence
54%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
1.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“my subscribers went with Daniel Pineda and I went with Darren alkins”
$2.05
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“my subscribers went with Daniel Pineda and I went with Darren alkins”
$2.05
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Darren Elkins
“I'm staying with the Darren Elkins”
Keep it a Buck Media picks Darren Elkins
“I'm staying with the Darren Elkins”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“Darren Elkins Elin should win this fight ... I like Darren Elkins here”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“Darren Elkins Elin should win this fight ... I like Darren Elkins here”
KU
Kunath picks Daniel Pineda VALUE
“I think that Daniel pan could do the same thing”
Kunath picks Daniel Pineda VALUE
“I think that Daniel pan could do the same thing”
AD
All-Star DFS picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“Darren alkin has all of the takedown upside in the world um and he has line value he's now a favorite minus 125 got just uh insane grappling upside line value um finishing like not a bad Finishing Line at all here plus 225 Daniel Pena great Finishing Line so you know what if because I'm seeing this D Alin the line value and the taked down upside I'm guessing he's going to have a higher medium projection and I'm guessing he's going to be higher owned than Daniel paneda and it could be like one of those classic things where Pan actually ends up as the better play when you bake in ownership so I like both sides of this a lot and if the ownership gets out of hand I'm gonna definitely try to force in some Daniel Pena”
$1.80
All-Star DFS picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“Darren alkin has all of the takedown upside in the world um and he has line value he's now a favorite minus 125 got just uh insane grappling upside line value um finishing like not a bad Finishing Line at all here plus 225 Daniel Pena great Finishing Line so you know what if because I'm seeing this D Alin the line value and the taked down upside I'm guessing he's going to have a higher medium projection and I'm guessing he's going to be higher owned than Daniel paneda and it could be like one of those classic things where Pan actually ends up as the better play when you bake in ownership so I like both sides of this a lot and if the ownership gets out of hand I'm gonna definitely try to force in some Daniel Pena”
$1.80
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Darren Elkins
“Daniel Pineda takes on Darren Elkins”
MMAWeekly.com picks Darren Elkins
“Daniel Pineda takes on Darren Elkins”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I'm saying Darren Elkins is out dogging Pana I've been picking him all week long”
$1.95
MMA EXPERTS picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I'm saying Darren Elkins is out dogging Pana I've been picking him all week long”
$1.95
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I am going with Daniel Pineda versus Darren Elkins in the mid-range there... and Darren Elkins just projects to have a huge like cardio and grinding Edge over him”
$1.92
Mayo Media Network picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I am going with Daniel Pineda versus Darren Elkins in the mid-range there... and Darren Elkins just projects to have a huge like cardio and grinding Edge over him”
$1.92
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Daniel Pineda VALUE
“I do like Daniel pan to get the job done”
$1.89
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Daniel Pineda VALUE
“I do like Daniel pan to get the job done”
$1.89
WP
We Want Picks picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I think Darren Elkins wins”
We Want Picks picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I think Darren Elkins wins”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Elkins29-11
L
Erosa
Apr '25
W
Pineda
Oct '24
W
Brown
Oct '23
L
Pearce
Dec '22
W
Connelly
Apr '22
Pineda28-17
L
Elkins
Oct '24
L
Wood
Jul '24
L
Caceres
Jun '23
W
Lutz
Mar '23
L
Swanson
Dec '20