MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
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AH MP Hernandez vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight RF KP Font vs PhillipsMain Card · Bantamweight CJ SM Johnson vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight CS JH Smotherman vs HadleyMain Card · Bantamweight DE DP Elkins vs PinedaMain Card · Featherweight AA MN Almabayev vs NicolauPreliminary Card · Flyweight JM BK Matsumoto vs KatonaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JE TV Edwards vs VidalPreliminary Card · Catchweight ER JP Reed vs PennePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MM AA Martinez vs ArdeleanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AL RD Lane vs DespaignePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Johnson v Mudaerji Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus47 picks · conf 67/99
Johnson 46
1 Mudaerji
UJNTCM pick Johnson
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Johnson 19-8 VS 15-12-2 Mudaerji
5'9" height 6'7"
126 lb weight 192 lb
70" reach 79"
35 age
Switch stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 3.0
47% striking accuracy 63%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
54% striking defence 61%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
66% takedown accuracy 53%
55% takedown defence 72%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 1.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Charles Johnson “my subscribers and I went with Charles Johnson” $1.48
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Charles Johnson “I got Charles Charles Johnson all day long” $1.44
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Charles Johnson VALUE “Charles Johnson the scholet gang tough to beat that man bro ... we're going with Charles Johnson in that fight ... I really love Charles Johnson this fight ... two losses in a row I think he's gonna get his third loss in a row to Charles Johnson Charles Johnson ... tough to beat that man bro”
KU Kunath picks Charles Johnson “I think that Charles Johnson's going to get a little bit of love”
AD All-Star DFS picks Charles Johnson VALUE “Charles Johnson is definitely the preferred side of the sight” $3.00
CM Coty MMA picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I have been profitable on Charles Johnson and I have been a bigger believer than most”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I'm going with Elise Ardon to grind out a decision win in a relatively close one” $2.15
I9 i9ines picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I'm going to have to ride with Charles Johnson again I just put him on my [__] house Legends board”
WP We Want Picks picks Charles Johnson VALUE “Charles Johnson is going to be the pick”
BO Botmfeeder picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I'm taking Charles Johnson money line” $1.44
GM Green Bets MMA picks Charles Johnson VALUE “next Charles Johnson in this matchup I just think he's going to be the better fighter in this um Su Mudaerji that he's fighting you know he's just okay in my opinion but I think Charles Johnson he's been able to put it together it's hard to root for Charles Johnson cuz the guys that he's fighting I'm always ruing for the other guy but he honestly is good”
SD Split Decision picks Charles Johnson “I'm going with Charles Johnson yeah I I I got to agree I say yes go with Charles everybody go with Charles joh go Charles Johnson”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Johnson19-8
L Almabayev Submission · R3 Jun '26
W Silva Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Perez KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26
W Kavanagh KO/TKO · R2 Aug '25
L Temirov Decision · R3 Mar '25
Mudaerji15-12-2
W Aguilar Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Borjas Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Raposo Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Johnson Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Elliott Submission · R1 Dec '23