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Reyes vs SmithPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Luque vs GorimboPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Evloev vs SterlingPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Van v Durden
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Van 16-2
VS
17-10-1 Durden
5'5"
height
5'7"
124 lb
weight
125 lb
65"
reach
67"
24
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
8.4
strikes landed / min
3.4
53%
striking accuracy
50%
6.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
58%
striking defence
50%
1.6
takedowns / 15 min
4.4
63%
takedown accuracy
50%
83%
takedown defence
73%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Joshua Van VALUE
“I'm G to pick for Joshua Van”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Cody Durden
“None”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Joshua Van VALUE
“I'm going to be going with Joshua Van”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Cody Durden
“give me Cody Durden because uh yeah give me Cody Cody Durden”
HP
High Low Sports Podcast picks Joshua Van VALUE
“I got Joshua Van taking this one”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Joshua Van VALUE
“I'm going to go with Joshua van at 8.5k against Cody Durden... my gut feeling is van is probably going to be lowish owned though”
$2.40
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Cody Durden VALUE
“I really like Cody Durden as well... I think Cody Durden is definitely going to exceed value in a victory and I don't mind being on him as well”
WP
We Want Picks picks Cody Durden VALUE
“I do think he wins here though tons of pressure tons of ity and I think it'll wear on his very young opponent”
JU
JussJustin picks Joshua Van
“I got Joshua van easy”
SM
Script MMA picks Cody Durden VALUE
“Cody Durden Durden is also a solid Underdog we don't have him on this list but he is a solid Underdog he's versing Joshua Joshua Van Joshua Van you probably will get some good uh plus money out that”
OC
OFF THE CUFF picks Joshua Van
“I will go with Joshua Van”
AM
Ain't No Way MMA picks Joshua Van VALUE
“I'm saying round three TKO Joshua Van that's like my general prediction”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Van16-2
W
Taira
May '26
W
Pantoja
Dec '25
W
Royval
Jun '25
W
Silva
Jun '25
W
Tsuruya
Mar '25
Durden17-10-1
W
Filho
Apr '26
L
Tumendemberel
Mar '26
L
Nascimento
Nov '25
L
Ochoa
Jun '25
L
Van
Dec '24