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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Evloev v Sterling
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Evloev 19-0
VS
25-5 Sterling
5'7"
height
5'7"
145 lb
weight
153 lb
72"
reach
71"
32
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
5.7
48%
striking accuracy
44%
2.9
strikes absorbed / min
2.5
61%
striking defence
55%
4.8
takedowns / 15 min
1.5
46%
takedown accuracy
27%
71%
takedown defence
63%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Movsar Evloev
“None”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Movsar Evloev
“None”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE
“Aljamain Sterling is favorite”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE
“Aljamain Sterling is favorite”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE
“I'm going with Alo”
The Rambling Dad picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE
“I'm going with Alo”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Movsar Evloev VALUE
“I'm going with vov”
The Rambling Dad picks Movsar Evloev VALUE
“I'm going with vov”
EM
Elijah House MMA picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE
“I do have aljo and this is no biasness he's just better and more skill he's a great wrestler who's a decent Striker fights on the front foot very skilled and he's shown drastic improvements throughout the years he's just getting really good he's got really good cardio and he's got very good heart turn he will drive you to the trenches like this is hard to beat this guy”
Elijah House MMA picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE
“I do have aljo and this is no biasness he's just better and more skill he's a great wrestler who's a decent Striker fights on the front foot very skilled and he's shown drastic improvements throughout the years he's just getting really good he's got really good cardio and he's got very good heart turn he will drive you to the trenches like this is hard to beat this guy”
BE
BetSam picks Movsar Evloev VALUE
“the pick is going to be mobsa”
BetSam picks Movsar Evloev VALUE
“the pick is going to be mobsa”
_O
_Octagon_Insights_ picks Movsar Evloev
“and finally Movsar Evloev to defeat Aljamain Sterling”
_Octagon_Insights_ picks Movsar Evloev
“and finally Movsar Evloev to defeat Aljamain Sterling”
HP
High Low Sports Podcast picks Movsar Evloev VALUE
“I'm gonna take Alman stly to find a way to pull this one out”
High Low Sports Podcast picks Movsar Evloev VALUE
“I'm gonna take Alman stly to find a way to pull this one out”
M👊
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Aljamain Sterling
“the simulations have Aljamain Sterling coming out on top winning three out of five simulations by decision”
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Aljamain Sterling
“the simulations have Aljamain Sterling coming out on top winning three out of five simulations by decision”
AJ
AjTooFresh picks Movsar Evloev
“I probably give the win to he”
AjTooFresh picks Movsar Evloev
“I probably give the win to he”
TP
Tony's Picks picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE
“I think I would remain Sterling's live in here man um and there's no way uh I could pass up a plus money price tag like this um on alary Sterling you got to show me a little bit AV off before you know we can keep going to war with you against somebody like this but yeah over and unders that's what we here for over 2 and A2 isus 420 you know this fight is going to distance two wrestlers that stand out there and just want to get each other you know in grappling positions so this one's going to distance in my eyes”
Tony's Picks picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE
“I think I would remain Sterling's live in here man um and there's no way uh I could pass up a plus money price tag like this um on alary Sterling you got to show me a little bit AV off before you know we can keep going to war with you against somebody like this but yeah over and unders that's what we here for over 2 and A2 isus 420 you know this fight is going to distance two wrestlers that stand out there and just want to get each other you know in grappling positions so this one's going to distance in my eyes”
CM
Coty MMA picks Movsar Evloev VALUE
“I got lean Movsar Evloev but I just Aldo's former champ... I think mobs are by decision”
Coty MMA picks Movsar Evloev VALUE
“I got lean Movsar Evloev but I just Aldo's former champ... I think mobs are by decision”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Evloev19-0
W
Murphy
Mar '26
W
Sterling
Dec '24
W
Allen
Jan '24
W
Lopes
May '23
W
Ige
Jun '22
Sterling25-5
W
Zalal
Apr '26
W
Ortega
Aug '25
L
Evloev
Dec '24
W
Kattar
Apr '24
L
O'Malley
Aug '23