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IG
Rakhmonov vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight
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AV
Gane vs VolkovMain Card · Heavyweight
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KG
Mitchell vs GracieMain Card · Featherweight
CD
NL
Doo-ho vs LandwehrMain Card · Featherweight
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Reyes vs SmithPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
VL
TG
Luque vs GorimboPreliminary Card · Welterweight
ME
AS
Evloev vs SterlingPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BB
RB
Battle vs BrownPreliminary Card · Catchweight
EA
CW
Anders vs WeidmanEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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CD
Van vs DurdenEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Reyes v Smith
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Reyes 15-5
VS
38-20 Smith
6'4"
height
6'4"
206 lb
weight
206 lb
77"
reach
76"
36
age
37
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
5.0
strikes landed / min
3.2
43%
striking accuracy
49%
2.5
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
70%
striking defence
46%
2.5
takedowns / 15 min
0.5
73%
takedown accuracy
26%
68%
takedown defence
50%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GP
Greedo Plays picks Anthony Smith VALUE
“Anthony Smith's going to be a big you know big help Off the Bench too let's get it done Orlando at home against the Suns we like them to win we like them to cover the one and a half”
Greedo Plays picks Anthony Smith VALUE
“Anthony Smith's going to be a big you know big help Off the Bench too let's get it done Orlando at home against the Suns we like them to win we like them to cover the one and a half”
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Dominick Reyes
“my next pick is money line grimbo money line”
B ALL N Sports picks Dominick Reyes
“my next pick is money line grimbo money line”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Dominick Reyes
“None”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Dominick Reyes
“None”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Anthony Smith
“None”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Anthony Smith
“None”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Anthony Smith VALUE
“I'm going with Anthony Smith on this one”
The Rambling Dad picks Anthony Smith VALUE
“I'm going with Anthony Smith on this one”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I'm going to pick dominant ryers”
The Rambling Dad picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I'm going to pick dominant ryers”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Dominick Reyes
“my pick is gonna be Dominick Reyes ... yeah Dominick Reyes all day long all on Dominick Reyes”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Dominick Reyes
“my pick is gonna be Dominick Reyes ... yeah Dominick Reyes all day long all on Dominick Reyes”
EM
Elijah House MMA picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I'm going Dominick Reyes first Dominick Reyes I just think he's going to catch him the first clean combo is going to Rock Anthony he's going to drop him finish him Rays coming off a very good win”
Elijah House MMA picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I'm going Dominick Reyes first Dominick Reyes I just think he's going to catch him the first clean combo is going to Rock Anthony he's going to drop him finish him Rays coming off a very good win”
EB
ESPN BET picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“Dominick Reyes over Anthony”
ESPN BET picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“Dominick Reyes over Anthony”
M👊
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Dominick Reyes
“the simulations have Dominick Reyes coming out on top winning four out of five simulations”
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Dominick Reyes
“the simulations have Dominick Reyes coming out on top winning four out of five simulations”
M👊
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Dominick Reyes
“the simulations have Dominick Dominick Reyes coming out on top winning four out of five simulations”
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Dominick Reyes
“the simulations have Dominick Dominick Reyes coming out on top winning four out of five simulations”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Reyes15-5
W
Walker
Apr '26
L
Ulberg
Sep '25
W
Krylov
Apr '25
W
Smith
Dec '24
W
Jacoby
Jun '24
Smith38-20
L
Mingyang
Apr '25
L
Reyes
Dec '24
L
Dolidze
Jun '24
W
Petrino
May '24
L
Rountree Jr.
Dec '23