Choose a fight to analyse
DP
SS
Plessis vs StricklandMain Card · Middleweight
ZW
TS
Weili vs SuarezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
TT
JT
Teixeira vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight
JC
RB
Crute vs BellatoMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JM
FP
Matthews vs PradoMain Card · Welterweight
GS
JJ
Santos vs JenkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TN
VB
Nolan vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
WC
BB
Cong vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
AT
CT
Topuria vs ThicknessePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
RZ
KS
Zhu vs SteeleEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
JM
KJ
Micallef vs JoussetEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
QS
AJ
Salkilld vs JubliEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
SS
Plessis vs StricklandMain Card · Middleweight
ZW
TS
Weili vs SuarezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
TT
JT
Teixeira vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight
JC
RB
Crute vs BellatoMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JM
FP
Matthews vs PradoMain Card · Welterweight
GS
JJ
Santos vs JenkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TN
VB
Nolan vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
WC
BB
Cong vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
AT
CT
Topuria vs ThicknessePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
RZ
KS
Zhu vs SteeleEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
JM
KJ
Micallef vs JoussetEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
QS
AJ
Salkilld vs JubliEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Zhu v Steele
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Zhu 1-2
VS
7-1 Steele
6'6"
height
5'9"
133 lb
weight
156 lb
68"
reach
71"
—
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.2
strikes landed / min
5.3
52%
striking accuracy
40%
3.1
strikes absorbed / min
5.3
67%
striking defence
60%
1.7
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
68%
takedown accuracy
0%
81%
takedown defence
100%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Rong Zhu VALUE
“my subscribers and I went with Cody stey I went with Rong Zhu”
$2.95
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Rong Zhu VALUE
“my subscribers and I went with Cody stey I went with Rong Zhu”
$2.95
ML
MMA Lewis picks Kody Steele
“I just feel like Kody Steele could probably keep it competitive on the feat and he can also kind of mix up the wrestling”
MMA Lewis picks Kody Steele
“I just feel like Kody Steele could probably keep it competitive on the feat and he can also kind of mix up the wrestling”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Rong Zhu VALUE
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Rong Zhu VALUE
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Kody Steele VALUE
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Kody Steele VALUE
FM
FATALITY MMA picks Kody Steele
“Rong Zhu versus Kody Steele rangu is not a good Prospect he's had a lot of chances he [ __ ] sucks I'll take Cody steel five out of 10 who cares on to the next one”
FATALITY MMA picks Kody Steele
“Rong Zhu versus Kody Steele rangu is not a good Prospect he's had a lot of chances he [ __ ] sucks I'll take Cody steel five out of 10 who cares on to the next one”
CM
Coty MMA picks Kody Steele
“I parlay Kody Kody Steelee my only parlay on the card I just think he's better everywhere”
$1.50
Coty MMA picks Kody Steele
“I parlay Kody Kody Steelee my only parlay on the card I just think he's better everywhere”
$1.50
KU
Kunath picks Kody Steele
“I think Kody Steele at 9100 is interesting”
Kunath picks Kody Steele
“I think Kody Steele at 9100 is interesting”
FR
FREESTYLEBENDER picks Rong Zhu
“right now I think he's peing very well so I can't wait to see him this weekend he's going to do some work”
FREESTYLEBENDER picks Rong Zhu
“right now I think he's peing very well so I can't wait to see him this weekend he's going to do some work”
US
Uselyis picks Kody Steele VALUE
“it's lock of the week it's money line and I'll take Kody Steele by KO on points at a minus 120”
$1.83
Uselyis picks Kody Steele VALUE
“it's lock of the week it's money line and I'll take Kody Steele by KO on points at a minus 120”
$1.83
WS
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Rong Zhu VALUE
“here's one I'm completely staying off I mean are you kidding me you're gonna Aleksandre Topuria was up to a minus 425 uh that got bet all the way down he's now minus 325 but I wouldn't bet on Aleksandre Topuria at minus 325 and honestly I'm not going to take the worst line on Colby Thicknesse maybe I would have taken that line um you know earlier in the week when it was a plus 350 that's what I did with run of Brazil we'll get to that coming up but um Cody Colby Thicknesse from Australia training with Alexander vov undefeated you know I I never ran this simulation for my uh on my predictions because this kind of was short notice a little bit they switched out some Fighters so for me it's a stay off but again Cody Colby Thicknesse with the height Advantage I'd bet Colby Thicknesse but again it's boria's brother I've heard that they compete well against each other which is obviously crazy so there you go here's my second play official play of the night I have Bruna Brasil plus 325 that line has come down to a plus 285 um again Wang Cong coming off a getting finished in China um as a minus 1200 so if you and to me oh not even to me but based on my metrics Bruna Brasil is a better fighter than Gabriela Fernandez so Bruna Brasil came in with a lot of hype out the contender series and her stock got in my opinion un unnecessarily or unfairly knocked down pretty far and so at plus 325 which now you can only get plus 285 I'd wait on it because people are going to put Kong Wang in paraly people cannot help but put big favorites and parlays but uh there you go Wang Cong but we got Batman right she gets a rose okay throws the rose away it's going to be entertaining it's definitely going to be a striking Rodolfo Bellatotle but there you go that's my uh I have a 1.5 unit play on Bruno Brazil I'm keeping it at that third play of the night I got this one early um Tom Nolan at plus3 is what I got him at he's now down to a minus 105 so money coming in on Tom Nolan I expect to see a height and reach Advantage for Nolan he pretty much always has it Flava Claus is I mean he we know exactly what he is great kickboxer shredded up you know ready to bang Tom Nolan less experience uh but has had some good wins in the EVENT_DETAILS had a loss to to Nicholas Mota who's a tough fighter got some new ink on him looking confident let's see the height and reach well we won't be able to see reach but let's see the height height discrepancy here it is M pretty minor not huge but it's there laava giving him a present so I'm not putting anything else on the line if I get another plus 130 or plus 150 I'll put another unit on on my main man there what is the line exactly right now I don't have a play on this one guys U the line right now is Tom Nolan minus 102 okay um Gabriel Santos though verse Kevin Joussetack Kevin Joussetenkins metric show value on Kevin Joussetack Kevin Joussetenkins at plus 190 this is another one where I don't have any action on it mainly because I use two different sets of metrics and they combine together I use um the AI model combined with different various Advanced analytics and the advanced analytics I use on fight Matrix all have Santos as heavy favorite so he got a height Advantage most people do against Kevin Joussetack he's kind of crazy I think Santos gets that done I think he is a beast next fight Kevin Joussetake Kevin Joussetake Matthews verse Francisco Francisco Prado uh slight value on Francisco Prado based on my uh on my model but again the fight Matrix analytics have this Kevin Joussetake Matthews all day now the line is a little bit out of control minus 230 for Kevin Joussetake Matthews comeb back on Francisco Prado plus 195 here's what I'm gonna say a betting strategy for this card is Underdog small unit that is just what I'm gonna say I bet you if you took all of The Underdogs the you know all of them really and you just put a unit on every Underdog on this card I think you come out um positive on the night so that is pretty much our strategy no official play on this um I think Kevin Joussetake Matthews gets it done but there's probably value on pra he is a decent Striker and he's tough as [ __ ] so he's not gonna go down like some of the other uh guys that Kevin Joussetake Matthews has faced next Kevin Joussetimmy Crute versus Rodolfo Bellato my metrics have Rodolfo Bellato should be favored slightly um he's currently at a 155 that's about exactly where it should be I don't have a play on this but I do lean below now if Kevin Joussetimmy Crute who's had a long layoff has improved or gotten back to where he was in the past he should be able to beat Rodolfo Bellato so that's probably my stay off with this Rodolfo Bellato is relatively new to the EVENT_DETAILS he is a Madman um he got beat by Victor patrino twice on the contender series but has looked good granted against eigor boria who is a punching bag here we go we got Kevin Joussetimmy Crute walking out let's see how he looks on the scales let's see how he looks on the scales looks strong looks in shape how long till his since his last fight 581 days but Rodolfo Bellato's 434 Rodolfo Bellato's got a height Advantage oh boy oh boy Kevin Joussetimmy Crute might be you know bolat by KO is not a bad bad look or inside the distance not sure what the line's going to be on that but uh not a bad look here we go what is this my fourth play fourth play of the night Kevin Joussetustin Tafa versus talison tetta I got Tallison Teixeira at plus 132 now that line came down and I wake up this morning and I see that the line has gone back up um Kevin Joussetustin Tafa is now at a plus 138 I'm Tak plus 134 right now checking the odd screen over there um this this is a very cut and dry breakdown I mean what are we even gonna see here Kevin Joussetustin Tafa is gonna be big and fat and shorter T Tallison Teixeira is gonna be super tall and long and in better shape and yet we all know what Kevin Joussetustin Tafa is capable of if Tallison Teixeira had an incredible wrestling game um I wouldn't bet Kevin Joussetustin Tafa but tar is gonna want out there want to go out there stand and bang just like he did his Contender series fight and he got hit a few times uh and now he's going against a guy who you can't get hit a few times by Kevin Joussetustin ala especially the right hand so I visualized that right hand connecting with that chin and Tallison Teixeira taking him out so I got Tallison Teixeira two units at plus 132 right co-main event of the evening we have Tatiana Suarez versus Zhang Weili I have been back and forth on this um well not really back on forth on who I'm going to bet on if there is a bet it's on wayy Shang it just depends on the number because the line came out minus 190 wayy Kevin Joussetang plus 175 or plus 170 Tatiana Suarez it has been absolutely steamed and flipped Tatiana Suarez is now a minus 124 and Zhang Weili is a plus 104 so I show value I show Zhang Weili s 57% chance of winning it shows on the advanced fight metrics on on fight Matrix the advanced metrics show that wayy Kevin Joussetiang should be favored um slightly at 54% so if I place a bet I want max value we'll see if more money comes in on Suarez I think we may see some action coming on way Lee from the public but I think this's a an area where the public may be correct um every single better uh analyst I've seen has taken Tatiana Suarez and there is a mythical like Aura around Suarez right now and everyone's writing off Zhang Weili so we'll see we will see um this is the this is the check this is the champ so uh if out of every single one where I said I lean maybe we bet it maybe we don't this is the one where I would say we are most likely going to place a bet on Zhang Weili unless the line totally flips um and then we'll stay off but if we get a plus even if we get a plus 110 at kickoff plus 115 we're at least going to put a unit if we get a plus 120 we're probably going to put two units so you won't be able to know that but if you guys were leaning Zhang Weili just know the Met are on your side so that's my analysis there not an official play and that may change I might put out a short tomorrow if I see that plus 115 plus 12 120 I'll tell you I'll put out a short giving you my official play final fight of the night the main card the main event Sean Strickland the Australian Sean Strickland the Sean Strickland with the with the stash with the staff so this is my concern I already have two units my final play look at that uh look at that left arm there what do we see we have a staff infection there so that means he's been on antibiotics um I am noticing too he obviously was super sucked out when he had to make weight he's filled out a little bit but I'm telling you antibiotics are antibiotics they're going to do what they're going to do and they're going to drain you so I already have a two-unit play it's an official play I can't go back once the BET's placed can't go back plus 175 five but would I say for sure you know things change and that's the change and sometimes you get lucky and the other guy gets staff in this case not the case but we're still riding with it um Dricus du Plessis is a beast but obviously in my previous breakdown you heard what I said Split Decision headbutt by Dricus du Plessis could have gone either way and Sean Sean Strickland was a minus 130 in the in the original fight now you give me a plus 175 nothing has changed except maybe you could argue momentum but if I I mean in terms of motivations Sean Strickland is very motivated to get this belt back so we'll see what happens here um it is an official play if you guys want to ride with me comment go for it say hey we're still riding with Sean Strickland despite the staff infection but uh there you go now just praying for the best here uh you guys check out my previous videos nothing has changed on official picks I will say as a recap we may put another half unit on Rong Zhu at plus 235 because the line got so good and then wayy Kevin Joussetiang is most likely going to be a play but it's not on the official play uh playlist it's not on the official play uh card yet so there you go that's the uh the post uh Faceoff ceremonial weigh-in recap um if you guys are riding with me comment below subscribe for the weekly picks I put them out early this week we've gotten some value on some of them um we got value on uh Tom Nolan even though it's only a unit we got value on Bruno Brazil we had value on wrong wrong Zoo now it's moved the other way and that means I think we're going to put a little more on it so there you go guys”
$2.95
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Rong Zhu VALUE
“here's one I'm completely staying off I mean are you kidding me you're gonna Aleksandre Topuria was up to a minus 425 uh that got bet all the way down he's now minus 325 but I wouldn't bet on Aleksandre Topuria at minus 325 and honestly I'm not going to take the worst line on Colby Thicknesse maybe I would have taken that line um you know earlier in the week when it was a plus 350 that's what I did with run of Brazil we'll get to that coming up but um Cody Colby Thicknesse from Australia training with Alexander vov undefeated you know I I never ran this simulation for my uh on my predictions because this kind of was short notice a little bit they switched out some Fighters so for me it's a stay off but again Cody Colby Thicknesse with the height Advantage I'd bet Colby Thicknesse but again it's boria's brother I've heard that they compete well against each other which is obviously crazy so there you go here's my second play official play of the night I have Bruna Brasil plus 325 that line has come down to a plus 285 um again Wang Cong coming off a getting finished in China um as a minus 1200 so if you and to me oh not even to me but based on my metrics Bruna Brasil is a better fighter than Gabriela Fernandez so Bruna Brasil came in with a lot of hype out the contender series and her stock got in my opinion un unnecessarily or unfairly knocked down pretty far and so at plus 325 which now you can only get plus 285 I'd wait on it because people are going to put Kong Wang in paraly people cannot help but put big favorites and parlays but uh there you go Wang Cong but we got Batman right she gets a rose okay throws the rose away it's going to be entertaining it's definitely going to be a striking Rodolfo Bellatotle but there you go that's my uh I have a 1.5 unit play on Bruno Brazil I'm keeping it at that third play of the night I got this one early um Tom Nolan at plus3 is what I got him at he's now down to a minus 105 so money coming in on Tom Nolan I expect to see a height and reach Advantage for Nolan he pretty much always has it Flava Claus is I mean he we know exactly what he is great kickboxer shredded up you know ready to bang Tom Nolan less experience uh but has had some good wins in the EVENT_DETAILS had a loss to to Nicholas Mota who's a tough fighter got some new ink on him looking confident let's see the height and reach well we won't be able to see reach but let's see the height height discrepancy here it is M pretty minor not huge but it's there laava giving him a present so I'm not putting anything else on the line if I get another plus 130 or plus 150 I'll put another unit on on my main man there what is the line exactly right now I don't have a play on this one guys U the line right now is Tom Nolan minus 102 okay um Gabriel Santos though verse Kevin Joussetack Kevin Joussetenkins metric show value on Kevin Joussetack Kevin Joussetenkins at plus 190 this is another one where I don't have any action on it mainly because I use two different sets of metrics and they combine together I use um the AI model combined with different various Advanced analytics and the advanced analytics I use on fight Matrix all have Santos as heavy favorite so he got a height Advantage most people do against Kevin Joussetack he's kind of crazy I think Santos gets that done I think he is a beast next fight Kevin Joussetake Kevin Joussetake Matthews verse Francisco Francisco Prado uh slight value on Francisco Prado based on my uh on my model but again the fight Matrix analytics have this Kevin Joussetake Matthews all day now the line is a little bit out of control minus 230 for Kevin Joussetake Matthews comeb back on Francisco Prado plus 195 here's what I'm gonna say a betting strategy for this card is Underdog small unit that is just what I'm gonna say I bet you if you took all of The Underdogs the you know all of them really and you just put a unit on every Underdog on this card I think you come out um positive on the night so that is pretty much our strategy no official play on this um I think Kevin Joussetake Matthews gets it done but there's probably value on pra he is a decent Striker and he's tough as [ __ ] so he's not gonna go down like some of the other uh guys that Kevin Joussetake Matthews has faced next Kevin Joussetimmy Crute versus Rodolfo Bellato my metrics have Rodolfo Bellato should be favored slightly um he's currently at a 155 that's about exactly where it should be I don't have a play on this but I do lean below now if Kevin Joussetimmy Crute who's had a long layoff has improved or gotten back to where he was in the past he should be able to beat Rodolfo Bellato so that's probably my stay off with this Rodolfo Bellato is relatively new to the EVENT_DETAILS he is a Madman um he got beat by Victor patrino twice on the contender series but has looked good granted against eigor boria who is a punching bag here we go we got Kevin Joussetimmy Crute walking out let's see how he looks on the scales let's see how he looks on the scales looks strong looks in shape how long till his since his last fight 581 days but Rodolfo Bellato's 434 Rodolfo Bellato's got a height Advantage oh boy oh boy Kevin Joussetimmy Crute might be you know bolat by KO is not a bad bad look or inside the distance not sure what the line's going to be on that but uh not a bad look here we go what is this my fourth play fourth play of the night Kevin Joussetustin Tafa versus talison tetta I got Tallison Teixeira at plus 132 now that line came down and I wake up this morning and I see that the line has gone back up um Kevin Joussetustin Tafa is now at a plus 138 I'm Tak plus 134 right now checking the odd screen over there um this this is a very cut and dry breakdown I mean what are we even gonna see here Kevin Joussetustin Tafa is gonna be big and fat and shorter T Tallison Teixeira is gonna be super tall and long and in better shape and yet we all know what Kevin Joussetustin Tafa is capable of if Tallison Teixeira had an incredible wrestling game um I wouldn't bet Kevin Joussetustin Tafa but tar is gonna want out there want to go out there stand and bang just like he did his Contender series fight and he got hit a few times uh and now he's going against a guy who you can't get hit a few times by Kevin Joussetustin ala especially the right hand so I visualized that right hand connecting with that chin and Tallison Teixeira taking him out so I got Tallison Teixeira two units at plus 132 right co-main event of the evening we have Tatiana Suarez versus Zhang Weili I have been back and forth on this um well not really back on forth on who I'm going to bet on if there is a bet it's on wayy Shang it just depends on the number because the line came out minus 190 wayy Kevin Joussetang plus 175 or plus 170 Tatiana Suarez it has been absolutely steamed and flipped Tatiana Suarez is now a minus 124 and Zhang Weili is a plus 104 so I show value I show Zhang Weili s 57% chance of winning it shows on the advanced fight metrics on on fight Matrix the advanced metrics show that wayy Kevin Joussetiang should be favored um slightly at 54% so if I place a bet I want max value we'll see if more money comes in on Suarez I think we may see some action coming on way Lee from the public but I think this's a an area where the public may be correct um every single better uh analyst I've seen has taken Tatiana Suarez and there is a mythical like Aura around Suarez right now and everyone's writing off Zhang Weili so we'll see we will see um this is the this is the check this is the champ so uh if out of every single one where I said I lean maybe we bet it maybe we don't this is the one where I would say we are most likely going to place a bet on Zhang Weili unless the line totally flips um and then we'll stay off but if we get a plus even if we get a plus 110 at kickoff plus 115 we're at least going to put a unit if we get a plus 120 we're probably going to put two units so you won't be able to know that but if you guys were leaning Zhang Weili just know the Met are on your side so that's my analysis there not an official play and that may change I might put out a short tomorrow if I see that plus 115 plus 12 120 I'll tell you I'll put out a short giving you my official play final fight of the night the main card the main event Sean Strickland the Australian Sean Strickland the Sean Strickland with the with the stash with the staff so this is my concern I already have two units my final play look at that uh look at that left arm there what do we see we have a staff infection there so that means he's been on antibiotics um I am noticing too he obviously was super sucked out when he had to make weight he's filled out a little bit but I'm telling you antibiotics are antibiotics they're going to do what they're going to do and they're going to drain you so I already have a two-unit play it's an official play I can't go back once the BET's placed can't go back plus 175 five but would I say for sure you know things change and that's the change and sometimes you get lucky and the other guy gets staff in this case not the case but we're still riding with it um Dricus du Plessis is a beast but obviously in my previous breakdown you heard what I said Split Decision headbutt by Dricus du Plessis could have gone either way and Sean Sean Strickland was a minus 130 in the in the original fight now you give me a plus 175 nothing has changed except maybe you could argue momentum but if I I mean in terms of motivations Sean Strickland is very motivated to get this belt back so we'll see what happens here um it is an official play if you guys want to ride with me comment go for it say hey we're still riding with Sean Strickland despite the staff infection but uh there you go now just praying for the best here uh you guys check out my previous videos nothing has changed on official picks I will say as a recap we may put another half unit on Rong Zhu at plus 235 because the line got so good and then wayy Kevin Joussetiang is most likely going to be a play but it's not on the official play uh playlist it's not on the official play uh card yet so there you go that's the uh the post uh Faceoff ceremonial weigh-in recap um if you guys are riding with me comment below subscribe for the weekly picks I put them out early this week we've gotten some value on some of them um we got value on uh Tom Nolan even though it's only a unit we got value on Bruno Brazil we had value on wrong wrong Zoo now it's moved the other way and that means I think we're going to put a little more on it so there you go guys”
$2.95
MM
Menace and The Man picks Kody Steele
“I'll go Kody Steele stealing that he's undefeated”
Menace and The Man picks Kody Steele
“I'll go Kody Steele stealing that he's undefeated”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Zhu1-2
W
Hubbard
Aug '25
W
Steele
Feb '25
L
Padilla
Sep '24
L
Bahamondes
Feb '22
W
Jenkins
Sep '21
Steele7-1
W
Fan
May '26
L
Zhu
Feb '25