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UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Crute v Bellato Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus72 picks · conf 76/99
Crute 29
43 Bellato
SOT1UK pick Crute
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Crute 14-4-2 VS 13-3-1 Bellato
6'2" height 6'3"
205 lb weight 204 lb
74" reach 75"
30 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min 4.4
53% striking accuracy 36%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 2.4
70% striking defence 50%
1.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
73% takedown accuracy 30%
76% takedown defence 80%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GP Greedo Plays picks Jimmy Crute VALUE “give me the Milwaukee Bucks at home even without janison to theuma we need another big night like we've gotten recently out of Dame and out of Bobby poris in order for the bucks to take this one and I'm more than willing to play that give me Milwaukee on the money line plus 195”
TS Take A Seat picks Rodolfo Bellato VALUE “I think he just lost his second one uh but it was like decision so like but he's good um so it's good to see how do you switch that emotion on and off because I know you're a very kind person you know and you're very humble person but obviously in that ring you've got to be it's you or me yeah and it's not going to be me”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Rodolfo Bellato “my subscribers went with Jimmy crude and I went with Roda bellato” $1.71
ML MMA Lewis picks Rodolfo Bellato “overall I'm going have the lean towards belato”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jimmy Crute
12 12Coffees picks Jimmy Crute “Obviously I'm going to Jimmy Crute”
KM Knuckles MMA picks Jimmy Crute “I think Jimmy Crute NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 could just take this Dude down lay on him for a little bit probably throw up sub submissions and I don't know I I'll give it to Jimmy Crute cre by submission”
ES etoft21 sports picks Rodolfo Bellato VALUE “I'm taking Rodolfo Bellato”
ES etoft21 sports picks Jimmy Crute VALUE “I'm taking Jimmy Crute”
EB ESPN BET picks Rodolfo Bellato VALUE “I'm gonna take Rodolfo Bellato here younger”
MW Muay Thai Wolverine picks Rodolfo Bellato “I'm going to go with Rodolfo Bellato”
TL The Millennial Londoner picks Jimmy Crute “I think Jimmy Crute is going to get this win”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Crute14-4-2
W Erslan Submission · R1 Sep '25
W Prachnio Submission · R1 Jul '25
L Menifield Submission · R2 Jul '23
L Hill KO/TKO · R1 Dec '21
L Smith KO/TKO · R1 Apr '21
Bellato13-3-1
W Fernandez KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Stirling Decision · R3 Sep '25
W Potieria KO/TKO · R2 Dec '23