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UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Santos v Jenkins Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus73 picks · conf 76/99
Santos 37
36 Jenkins
BLCSTM pick Santos
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Santos 11-2 VS 14-4 Jenkins
5'9" height 5'7"
145 lb weight 146 lb
70" reach 68"
29 age 32
Orthodox stance Switch
4.7 strikes landed / min 5.0
59% striking accuracy 41%
4.8 strikes absorbed / min 2.0
47% striking defence 60%
3.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
52% takedown accuracy 48%
85% takedown defence 72%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jack Jenkins VALUE “my subscribers and I went with Jack Jake Jenkins” $2.90
MD mdminds picks Jack Jenkins VALUE $2.86
ML MMA Lewis picks Gabriel Santos VALUE “going have to lean towards Gabriel Santos”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jack Jenkins VALUE
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Gabriel Santos VALUE
KM Knuckles MMA picks Jack Jenkins “I have NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 claw winning this by either a late round submission or he's just going to hold this dude down until he gets a decision win”
FM FATALITY MMA picks Jack Jenkins “I'm taking Jack Jenkins um I rate him pretty highly Gabriel Santos I think in his debut he looked really good Jack Jenkins gives me he's very complete he he can do everything very very well I think he's one of the better prospects on on the in so's Gabriel Santos though this is a hard fight to pick I'm going to take Jack Jenkins minus 225 is I see this fight being pretty close to be honest uh do not bet on this fight” $1.44
CM Coty MMA picks Gabriel Santos “I'm gonna say Gabriel Santos mixes it up gets the win here” $1.44
KU Kunath picks Jack Jenkins VALUE “give me some of that Justin TAA this week one of the better value plays in my opinion just because of that Boomer bust upside”
SL SUPER LUTAS picks Gabriel Santos VALUE “Vitória de Gabriel Santos mosquitinho em mais de um round e meio pagando também 1,68”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Gabriel Santos VALUE “Santos on the money line at minus 225” $1.44
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Jack Jenkins “Jack Zhang Weilikins is probably the most popular pick”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Santos11-2
W Jenkins Submission · R3 Feb '25
W Zha Decision · R3 Sep '24
L Onama KO/TKO · R2 Jun '23
L Murphy Decision · R3 Mar '23
Jenkins14-4
W Taveras Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Santos Submission · R3 Feb '25
W Burns KO/TKO · R3 Aug '24
L Mariscal KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
W Emmers Decision · R3 Jun '23