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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Gaziev v Petersen Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus76 picks · conf 77/99
Gaziev 65
11 Petersen
AYBUJT pick Gaziev
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gaziev 14-2 VS 10-4 Petersen
6'4" height 6'1"
262 lb weight 246 lb
78" reach 74"
36 age 31
Orthodox stance Southpaw
2.4 strikes landed / min 4.6
49% striking accuracy 55%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.6
44% striking defence 54%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.1
30% takedown accuracy 36%
100% takedown defence 78%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MJ MMA JOEY picks Shamil Gaziev “Shamil Shamil Gazieviev goes out there finishes him in the first round”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Shamil Gaziev “my subscribers and I went with Shamil Shamil Gazievieviev” $1.25
ES etoft21 sports picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE “he's like a minus 300 something favorite”
BM Brick MMA picks Shamil Gaziev “I'm going just go with SH gaziev”
WW Wages & Warriors picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE “I like Sharabutdin Magomedov in this fight man I just think he's the better fighter I think he's the better Striker” $1.31
SL SUPER LUTAS picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE “vitória do Shamil Gazievil gaziev”
NO NotSoLethal picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE “I'm going to pick FarèSaid Nurmagomedov Ziam”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Thomas Petersen VALUE “I'm going to start off talking about Thomas Petersen at plus 280 against Said Nurmagomedovhamil Gaziev” $3.80
AU Audey picks Shamil Gaziev “I'm gonna Lean gaziev by a uh deciSaid Nurmagomedovion”
NC Nick Cieslak picks Shamil Gaziev “Shamil Gaziev is GNA blob all over him Shamil... I think he's going to be able to uh get this one done Shamil Gaziev”
TP Tony's Picks picks Shamil Gaziev “I'll go with Sham gazi have to win and then give give me the over one and a half”
FI FIGHTASTIC® picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE “Shamil Gaziev the safe pick here lock them into your parlays”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gaziev14-2
L Peričić KO/TKO · R2 May '26
L Cortes-Acosta KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Petersen KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
W Mayes Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Rozenstruik KO/TKO · R4 Mar '24
Petersen10-4
W Pat Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Petrino KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
W Mayes Decision · R3 May '25
L Gaziev KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
W Usman Decision · R3 Jul '24