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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ziam v Davis
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ziam 18-4
VS
11-2 Davis
6'1"
height
6'0"
156 lb
weight
155 lb
75"
reach
72"
29
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.8
strikes landed / min
5.3
43%
striking accuracy
52%
2.3
strikes absorbed / min
5.8
61%
striking defence
55%
1.2
takedowns / 15 min
2.8
37%
takedown accuracy
53%
66%
takedown defence
64%
1.9
submissions / 15 min
0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Farès Ziam
“Farès Ziam gets it done via unanimous decision”
WS
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Farès Ziam VALUE
“bet number two Farès Ziam I love this showdown and I think this is why we saw money come in on him he's taller Mike Davis also looks a little nervous so I like that bet we got two units on it at plus 165”
$2.65
ES
etoft21 sports picks Mike Davis VALUE
“I'm going with Mike Davis”
NO
NoJonesMMA picks Mike Davis VALUE
“I'm taking Mike Davis put your money on this one it's a confident pick”
BY
ByoneWorld picks Farès Ziam VALUE
“Farès Ziam versus Mike Davis”
⚔P
⚔️Soups MMA Preview⚔️ picks Mike Davis VALUE
“I am going to go with Mike Davis”
WM
WILL MMA picks Mike Davis
“I'll go Mike Davis”
NO
NotSoLethal picks Farès Ziam VALUE
“I'm going Shamil garer to no ThomaSaid Nurmagomedov PeterSaid Nurmagomedoven uh in round one”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Mike Davis VALUE
“I actually had Mike Davis in my luck ratings though and I was hoping the line would continue to fall”
$1.71
NC
Nick Cieslak picks Farès Ziam VALUE
“I'm going to go Farès Ziam as I didn't actually see as an underdog so yeah I'm going to go Farès Ziam as an underdog”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ziam18-4
L
Nolan
Jun '26
W
Sadykhov
Dec '25
W
Davis
Feb '25
W
Frevola
Sep '24
W
Puelles
Feb '24
Davis11-2
W
Ramirez
Jul '25
L
Ziam
Feb '25
W
Levy
Mar '24
W
Borshchev
Oct '22
W
Jones
Jan '21