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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pavlovich v Rozenstruik Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus83 picks · conf 79/99
Pavlovich 63
20 Rozenstruik
ABJYBP pick Pavlovich
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pavlovich 20-3 VS 15-5 Rozenstruik
6'3" height 6'2"
255 lb weight 252 lb
84" reach 78"
34 age 38
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.1 strikes landed / min 3.8
44% striking accuracy 49%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
66% striking defence 51%
1.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
25% takedown accuracy 0%
64% takedown defence 75%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MJ MMA JOEY picks Sergei Pavlovich “Sergei Pavlovich gets it done unanimous decision”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE “my subscribers and I went with Sergei Pavlovich” $1.33
KM Knuckles MMA picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE “I have Sergei Pavlovich winning this fight against jino Rosen strike by uh possible TKO in maybe the second or third round”
BY ByoneWorld picks Jairzinho Rozenstruik VALUE “Sergei Pavlovich was like the boogeyman before Tom aspino knocked him out and then now he's on a two-fight skid”
NO NotSoLethal picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE “I'm picking JaSaid Nurmagomedovmine JaSaid NurmagomedovudaviciuSaid Nurmagomedov”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE “Sergei Sergei Pavlovich is going to starch Jairzinho Rozenstruik” $1.35
BO BoxeMag picks Sergei Pavlovich “here is the number four ranked heavyweight in the world Sergei Pavlovich”
AU Audey picks Jairzinho Rozenstruik “I think Jairzinho RozenSaid Nurmagomedovtruik iSaid Nurmagomedov going to uh Edge out a deciSaid Nurmagomedovion”
AU Audey picks Sergei Pavlovich “I'm going to go with JaSaid Nurmagomedovmine JaSaid NurmagomedovudaviciuSaid Nurmagomedov on thiSaid Nurmagomedov one”
MO MMA Soap Opera picks Jairzinho Rozenstruik VALUE “personally I'm rooting for Vinicius Oliveira and I think that he's an underdog I would still think that this is very much a 50/50”
FI FIGHTASTIC® picks Sergei Pavlovich “pavich is the pick but Jairzinho Rozenstruik Power makes him a tempting underdog”
TH ThatBettingDude picks Sergei Pavlovich “I see it as going oneway traffic to Sergei Pavlovich”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pavlovich20-3
W Teixeira KO/TKO · R1 May '26
W Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Rozenstruik Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Volkov Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Aspinall KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
Rozenstruik15-5
L Pavlovich Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Tuivasa Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Gaziev KO/TKO · R4 Mar '24
L Almeida Submission · R1 May '23
W Daukaus KO/TKO · R1 Dec '22