Choose a fight to analyse
NI
IA
Imavov vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight
MP
SM
Page vs MagomedovMain Card · Middleweight
SP
JR
Pavlovich vs RozenstruikMain Card · Heavyweight
VO
SN
Oliveira vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight
FZ
MD
Ziam vs DavisMain Card · Lightweight
MN
KO
Naimov vs OfliPreliminary Card · Featherweight
SG
TP
Gaziev vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
TM
DH
McKinney vs HadžovićPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JJ
MS
Jasudavicius vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BG
LA
Grad vs AlexanderPreliminary Card · Catchweight
HA
JP
Abdelwahab vs PoguesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
IA
Imavov vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight
MP
SM
Page vs MagomedovMain Card · Middleweight
SP
JR
Pavlovich vs RozenstruikMain Card · Heavyweight
VO
SN
Oliveira vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight
FZ
MD
Ziam vs DavisMain Card · Lightweight
MN
KO
Naimov vs OfliPreliminary Card · Featherweight
SG
TP
Gaziev vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
TM
DH
McKinney vs HadžovićPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JJ
MS
Jasudavicius vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BG
LA
Grad vs AlexanderPreliminary Card · Catchweight
HA
JP
Abdelwahab vs PoguesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Imavov v Adesanya
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Imavov 17-4
VS
24-5 Adesanya
6'3"
height
6'4"
185 lb
weight
185 lb
75"
reach
80"
30
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Switch
4.2
strikes landed / min
4.0
57%
striking accuracy
50%
2.8
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
54%
striking defence
57%
2.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.3
64%
takedown accuracy
33%
89%
takedown defence
81%
1.2
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Nassourdine Imavov
“Nassourdine Imavov wins via second round KO”
MMA JOEY picks Nassourdine Imavov
“Nassourdine Imavov wins via second round KO”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Israel Adesanya
“make sure to check out our EVENT_DETAILS predictions with Israel Adesanya Nassourdine Imavov in the main event”
Greedo Plays picks Israel Adesanya
“make sure to check out our EVENT_DETAILS predictions with Israel Adesanya Nassourdine Imavov in the main event”
EM
Elijah House MMA picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“I'm just make my prediction for the last three fights so stay starting off ... Israel Adesanya ... he's going to get that belt back ... I think Israel Adesanya will be champ again 2026”
Elijah House MMA picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“I'm just make my prediction for the last three fights so stay starting off ... Israel Adesanya ... he's going to get that belt back ... I think Israel Adesanya will be champ again 2026”
KM
Knuckles MMA picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE
“I like Nassourdine Imavov”
Knuckles MMA picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE
“I like Nassourdine Imavov”
KM
Knuckles MMA picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“I have Israel Adesanya winning this fight by um late like late TKO possibly a decision win over nasad MAV”
Knuckles MMA picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“I have Israel Adesanya winning this fight by um late like late TKO possibly a decision win over nasad MAV”
WS
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE
“last bet of the night Nassourdine Imavov I got him at a plus 152 it's down to a plus 125 I like this let's go back there I like that size that he has he looks slightly taller than Israel Adesanya or about the same size thicker”
$2.52
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE
“last bet of the night Nassourdine Imavov I got him at a plus 152 it's down to a plus 125 I like this let's go back there I like that size that he has he looks slightly taller than Israel Adesanya or about the same size thicker”
$2.52
PE
Pellymediatv picks Israel Adesanya
“I'm picking Israel Adesanya thIsrael Adesanya the last star Bender”
Pellymediatv picks Israel Adesanya
“I'm picking Israel Adesanya thIsrael Adesanya the last star Bender”
MM
Mushak El_Jefe mma picks Nassourdine Imavov
“je me suis dit que Nassourdine Imavov il va gagner je me mouille pour à son DINassourdine Imavov il va gagner mais il va aller chercher de la décision”
Mushak El_Jefe mma picks Nassourdine Imavov
“je me suis dit que Nassourdine Imavov il va gagner je me mouille pour à son DINassourdine Imavov il va gagner mais il va aller chercher de la décision”
US
Uselyis picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE
“I'm going to go is rasna guys I'm going to go israa I think he should be able to win this fight guys this fight is by far one of the hardest main events that I've ever had to pick I'm doing an official pick flip for this fight guys and I'm going isra guys I'm going isna to win this fight guys if he ends up losing this fight then I'll have a better idea of where he's at in the middleweight division but right now he's defending his ranking I think he should be able to have success he should be able to win three rounds out of the two and if this fight goes a distance who's the guy who's better at going five rounds who has won five rounds more than anybody else in their career and this guy was a professional kickboxer”
$1.64
Uselyis picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE
“I'm going to go is rasna guys I'm going to go israa I think he should be able to win this fight guys this fight is by far one of the hardest main events that I've ever had to pick I'm doing an official pick flip for this fight guys and I'm going isra guys I'm going isna to win this fight guys if he ends up losing this fight then I'll have a better idea of where he's at in the middleweight division but right now he's defending his ranking I think he should be able to have success he should be able to win three rounds out of the two and if this fight goes a distance who's the guy who's better at going five rounds who has won five rounds more than anybody else in their career and this guy was a professional kickboxer”
$1.64
BY
ByoneWorld picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“he's very much still top at 185”
ByoneWorld picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“he's very much still top at 185”
TC
The MMA Couch picks Nassourdine Imavov
“yes unless he shows a new level of urgency I believe Nassourdine Imavov will get the job done”
The MMA Couch picks Nassourdine Imavov
“yes unless he shows a new level of urgency I believe Nassourdine Imavov will get the job done”
XC
XcellentMMA picks Nassourdine Imavov
“I got Nassourdine Imavov in this”
XcellentMMA picks Nassourdine Imavov
“I got Nassourdine Imavov in this”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Imavov17-4
W
Borralho
Sep '25
W
Adesanya
Feb '25
W
Allen
Sep '24
W
Cannonier
Jun '24
W
Dolidze
Feb '24
Adesanya24-5
L
Pyfer
Mar '26
L
Imavov
Feb '25
L
Plessis
Aug '24
L
Strickland
Sep '23
W
Pereira
Apr '23