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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Erosa v Elkins
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Erosa 0-0
VS
29-11 Elkins
6'1"
height
5'10"
145 lb
weight
145 lb
74"
reach
71"
36
age
42
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
6.2
strikes landed / min
3.4
48%
striking accuracy
38%
6.3
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
48%
striking defence
51%
1.7
takedowns / 15 min
2.9
48%
takedown accuracy
34%
58%
takedown defence
56%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I'm going to go ahead and pick him to win by um decision”
GLO MMA picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I'm going to go ahead and pick him to win by um decision”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Julian Erosa
“I'm taking Julian Erosa to get a I think it's going to go to a decision.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Julian Erosa
“I'm taking Julian Erosa to get a I think it's going to go to a decision.”
GI
GipperPicks picks Darren Elkins
“Julian Julian Erosa ... Darren Elkins is more than likely going to try and grapple”
GipperPicks picks Darren Elkins
“Julian Julian Erosa ... Darren Elkins is more than likely going to try and grapple”
KR
Khalil Rountree picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I got Dar Darren Elkins for sure.”
Khalil Rountree picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I got Dar Darren Elkins for sure.”
KR
Khalil Rountree picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“I'm going to go with that one [Arosa].”
Khalil Rountree picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“I'm going to go with that one [Arosa].”
SL
SLEEPY picks Darren Elkins
“If I was to guess 11 wins by now, but he's bro, he's 30 and 12.”
SLEEPY picks Darren Elkins
“If I was to guess 11 wins by now, but he's bro, he's 30 and 12.”
EB
ESPN BET picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“We're going to go with Julian Erosa over Darren Elkins.”
ESPN BET picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“We're going to go with Julian Erosa over Darren Elkins.”
LE
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“me voy a ir with Darren Alkins.”
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“me voy a ir with Darren Alkins.”
WE
WestmanHQ picks Julian Erosa
“I'm going to go Julian Rosa. I mean, just cuz he's a heavy favorite.”
WestmanHQ picks Julian Erosa
“I'm going to go Julian Rosa. I mean, just cuz he's a heavy favorite.”
MM
MMAInstigator picks Julian Erosa
“I'm leaning Julian Erosa.”
MMAInstigator picks Julian Erosa
“I'm leaning Julian Erosa.”
TC
The W.A.D.E. Concept picks Julian Erosa
“I see Julian Erosa. go Julian Erosa and I'm going to do it absolutely recognize. Now, Darren Elkins I love Darren Elkins, but I'm going to”
The W.A.D.E. Concept picks Julian Erosa
“I see Julian Erosa. go Julian Erosa and I'm going to do it absolutely recognize. Now, Darren Elkins I love Darren Elkins, but I'm going to”
GP
Ground"N"Pound Podcast picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I actually like Darren Elkins money line here.”
$4.00
Ground"N"Pound Podcast picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I actually like Darren Elkins money line here.”
$4.00
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Erosa0-0
L
Douglas
Mar '26
L
Costa
May '25
W
Elkins
Apr '25
W
Rodriguez
Jul '24
W
Ramos
Mar '24
Elkins29-11
L
Erosa
Apr '25
W
Pineda
Oct '24
W
Brown
Oct '23
L
Pearce
Dec '22
W
Connelly
Apr '22