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UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Reyes v Krylov Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus144 picks · conf 99/99
Reyes 79
65 Krylov
NWWMLF pick Reyes
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Reyes 15-5 VS 30-11 Krylov
6'4" height 6'3"
206 lb weight 205 lb
77" reach 78"
36 age 34
Southpaw stance Orthodox
5.0 strikes landed / min 4.4
43% striking accuracy 55%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.5
70% striking defence 44%
2.5 takedowns / 15 min 2.3
73% takedown accuracy 38%
68% takedown defence 53%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
SS SledgeHammer Sports picks Nikita Krylov VALUE “I'm going Venique Nikita Krylov NOT_IN_ROSTER_25 NOT_IN_ROSTER_25 Nikita Krylov Nikita Krylov NOT_IN_ROSTER_27. Nikita Krylov round one TKO.”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
GM GLO MMA picks Dominick Reyes VALUE “Dominick Reyes is going to win this fight and knock out in the very first round”
GM GLO MMA picks Nikita Krylov VALUE “Nikita Krylov is going to win this fight by knockout in the first round”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Nikita Krylov “I am leaning heavy. Nikita Krylov”
VI VinceMMA picks Nikita Krylov VALUE “I'm going to go Nikita Krylov Nikita Krylov”
VI VinceMMA picks Dominick Reyes VALUE “I'm going to Kitty NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 by late TKO or decision”
UG UFC Genie picks Nikita Krylov VALUE “He is an absolute hammer play against Dominick Reyes, he will not be able to hang on the feet with Nikita Krylov or on the ground. Nikita Krylov is an absolute hammer. He's the first leg.” $1.20
FI FightAddict1 picks Dominick Reyes “I'll go with Dominick Reyes winning that.”
KR Khalil Rountree picks Dominick Reyes VALUE “I'll go with Braves [Dominick Reyes] on this one.”
CC Colby Covington picks Nikita Krylov “I'm taking Nikita Krylov. I think he's just a gamer. He's a He's a tough Russian. He's been very experienced because he's had like 40 or 50 fights and he's a dangerous striker. He's long. He's got big punches. He's got nasty kicks. So, I think Reyes is done. I think, you know, that fight with Jerry really did a number on him, and I just don't think he uh has that same grit that he used to have. So, I'm picking Kryop in this first fight on the main card.”
WA WavyMMA picks Dominick Reyes “I'm gonna roll with Dominic Reyes.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Reyes15-5
W Walker Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Ulberg KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Krylov KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Smith KO/TKO · R2 Dec '24
W Jacoby KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
Krylov30-11
W Bukauskas KO/TKO · R3 Jan '26
L Guskov KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
L Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Spann Submission · R1 Mar '23
W Oezdemir Decision · R3 Oct '22