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Rodríguez vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight
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Silva vs MitchellMain Card · Featherweight
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Reyes vs KrylovMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Ige vs WoodsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Jandiroba vs XiaonanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Hooper vs MillerPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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DE
Erosa vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Oleksiejczuk vs DumasEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Tulio vs GoreEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Volkanovski v Lopes
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Volkanovski 27-4
VS
27-8 Lopes
5'6"
height
5'11"
145 lb
weight
146 lb
72"
reach
72"
37
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
6.0
strikes landed / min
3.5
51%
striking accuracy
58%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
2.2
57%
striking defence
56%
3.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
48%
takedown accuracy
39%
70%
takedown defence
52%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
SS
SledgeHammer Sports picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I think Diego Lopes gets a knockout win”
SledgeHammer Sports picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I think Diego Lopes gets a knockout win”
FI
FightCircuit picks Diego Lopes
“So yeah, I'm going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 Chinny in the first two. Nah, Vulcanoska. I'm going with Lopez. Chinny Vcinoski in the first two.”
FightCircuit picks Diego Lopes
“So yeah, I'm going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 Chinny in the first two. Nah, Vulcanoska. I'm going with Lopez. Chinny Vcinoski in the first two.”
GM
GLO MMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“I'm picking Alexander Volkanovski to win by decision”
GLO MMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“I'm picking Alexander Volkanovski to win by decision”
GM
GLO MMA picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I like Diego Lopes”
GLO MMA picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I like Diego Lopes”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Alexander Volkanovski
“I'm on uh Alexander Alexander Volkanovski to get the upset plus money victory over Diego Lopes.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Alexander Volkanovski
“I'm on uh Alexander Alexander Volkanovski to get the upset plus money victory over Diego Lopes.”
VI
VinceMMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“I'm going to go Alexander Volkanovski Vulcganowski by unanimous decision”
VinceMMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“I'm going to go Alexander Volkanovski Vulcganowski by unanimous decision”
WS
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“we like it at this number because we have the parlay with Alexander Volkanovski and Nora Cornolle”
$1.71
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“we like it at this number because we have the parlay with Alexander Volkanovski and Nora Cornolle”
$1.71
FI
FightAddict1 picks Diego Lopes
“I do go with Diego Lopes.”
FightAddict1 picks Diego Lopes
“I do go with Diego Lopes.”
CS
Chael Sonnen picks Diego Lopes
“You had Diego Lopes by default because he's beaten up so many guys”
Chael Sonnen picks Diego Lopes
“You had Diego Lopes by default because he's beaten up so many guys”
CS
Chael Sonnen picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“Help me make the case for Alexander Volkanovski because in every fight, no matter who's quicker, no matter who's experienced, in every fight, the opponent will give his opponent an opportunity to win. 100% of fights, no matter how lopsided their skills are, the other guy will give you a chance to win at some point.”
Chael Sonnen picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“Help me make the case for Alexander Volkanovski because in every fight, no matter who's quicker, no matter who's experienced, in every fight, the opponent will give his opponent an opportunity to win. 100% of fights, no matter how lopsided their skills are, the other guy will give you a chance to win at some point.”
KR
Khalil Rountree picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I'm going with Diego Lopes straight up.”
Khalil Rountree picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I'm going with Diego Lopes straight up.”
CC
Colby Covington picks Diego Lopes
“I'm going against the douchebag. I'm going to fade the douchebag Alexander Volkanovskiander Volkanovski. I'm going to go with that emo looking haircut dude Diego Lopes Lopes all the way to the winner circle. I think he's younger, he's hungrier, and he's not just fighting for a paycheck like I think Alexander Volkanovskiander Volkanovski is doing. So, the EVENT_DETAILS is making his regards to Diego Lopes Lopes. I think he's going to get this done.”
Colby Covington picks Diego Lopes
“I'm going against the douchebag. I'm going to fade the douchebag Alexander Volkanovskiander Volkanovski. I'm going to go with that emo looking haircut dude Diego Lopes Lopes all the way to the winner circle. I think he's younger, he's hungrier, and he's not just fighting for a paycheck like I think Alexander Volkanovskiander Volkanovski is doing. So, the EVENT_DETAILS is making his regards to Diego Lopes Lopes. I think he's going to get this done.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Volkanovski27-4
W
Lopes
Feb '26
W
Lopes
Apr '25
L
Topuria
Feb '24
L
Makhachev
Oct '23
W
Rodríguez
Jul '23
Lopes27-8
W
Garcia
Jun '26
L
Volkanovski
Feb '26
W
Silva
Sep '25
L
Volkanovski
Apr '25
W
Ortega
Sep '24