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UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Rodríguez v Pitbull Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus161 picks · conf 99/99
Rodríguez 92
69 Pitbull
MCS9SM pick Rodríguez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rodríguez 16-5 VS 37-8 Pitbull
— height 5'6"
— weight 145 lb
— reach 67"
33 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.7 strikes landed / min 3.5
46% striking accuracy 51%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 2.1
52% striking defence 64%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
27% takedown accuracy 33%
58% takedown defence 86%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE “I'm going to go and pick Yayer Rodriguez. Probably to get it done by knockout or later round finish”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Yair Rodríguez “I'm going with Yair Rodríguez Yair Rodríguez. That's my side I'm taking.”
VI VinceMMA picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE “I'm going to go NOT_IN_ROSTER_14 Yair Rodríguez by decision”
FI FightAddict1 picks Patrício Pitbull “I would say Patrício Pitbull.”
CS Chael Sonnen picks Patrício Pitbull “if Patrício Patrício Pitbull on day one can play this game well enough to beat Yair Rodríguez”
KR Khalil Rountree picks Patrício Pitbull VALUE “I'm going with Patricio [Patrício Pitbull] for sure.”
CC Colby Covington picks Yair Rodríguez “I'm going with Yair Rodríguez in this fight. I think he's bigger, stronger, faster, and obviously younger. So, Patricio's been, you know, in a lot of wars in that second fiddle promotion. So, I think he left his best days behind him and he's just looking to come get a paid jump over here and and hopefully get a little hype before he ends his career. But so I'm going to have to go with the younger fresher Yair Rodríguez Rodríguez in this fight.”
SL SLEEPY picks Yair Rodríguez “I might have to go Yair Rodríguez for this one. I don't know anything about Patrício Pitbull to be honest.”
MM MMA Messenger picks Yair Rodríguez “Think that I talked to the UFC about as well. Uh maybe after this fight, you know, uh having the the win on Saturday, um fighting for the championship is the is the goal, right?”
PE Pat Egan picks Yair Rodríguez “I do think Yair Rodríguez takes this one though.” $1.53
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE “I think we could easily see a KO early on in this fight.”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Patrício Pitbull “Patrício Pitbull, I love him, but uh he he was knocked out early on just recently.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rodríguez16-5
W Pitbull Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Ortega Submission · R3 Feb '24
L Volkanovski KO/TKO · R3 Jul '23
W Emmett Submission · R2 Feb '23
W Ortega KO/TKO · R1 Jul '22
Pitbull37-8
L Pico Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Ige Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Rodríguez Decision · R3 Apr '25