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UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pimblett v Chandler Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus183 picks · conf 99/99
Pimblett 106
77 Chandler
MUSbFW pick Pimblett
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pimblett 23-3 VS 23-10 Chandler
5'10" height 5'8"
155 lb weight 156 lb
73" reach 72"
31 age 40
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 4.5
53% striking accuracy 50%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 4.3
40% striking defence 43%
0.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
25% takedown accuracy 37%
52% takedown defence 63%
2.1 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Michael Chandler VALUE “I think Michael Chandler gets it done”
GM GLO MMA picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE “I'm going to go ahead and pick Patty Pin to get it done by decision”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Michael Chandler “I'm gonna take Michael Chandler.”
VI VinceMMA picks Michael Chandler VALUE “I'm going to go Michael Chandler Pimplet by round two submission”
GI GipperPicks picks Michael Chandler VALUE “Michael Michael Chandler on the money line” $2.36
GI GipperPicks picks Paddy Pimblett “Michael Michael Chandler on the money line over Patty Paddy Pimblett”
CS Chael Sonnen picks Michael Chandler “Michael Michael Chandler who came over here and with one win. Michael Michael Chandler then fought for the championship of the world”
KR Khalil Rountree picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE “I'm going to pick Paddy Pimblett on this one.”
KR Khalil Rountree picks Michael Chandler VALUE “I'd probably go with Pimplet [Michael Chandler].”
MH MMA Combat Hub picks Michael Chandler “Cejudo still picked Chandler to win the fight.”
UI UFC Insider picks Michael Chandler “No quote available as no prediction was made.”
UI UFC Insider picks Paddy Pimblett “No quote available as no prediction was made.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pimblett23-3
L Gaethje Decision · R5 Jan '26
W Chandler KO/TKO · R3 Apr '25
W Green Submission · R1 Jul '24
W Ferguson Decision · R3 Dec '23
W Gordon Decision · R3 Dec '22
Chandler23-10
L Ruffy KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
L Pimblett KO/TKO · R3 Apr '25
L Oliveira Decision · R5 Nov '24
L Poirier Submission · R3 Nov '22
W Ferguson KO/TKO · R2 May '22